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Intrinsic ValueNEC Corporation (6701.T)

Previous Close¥5,210.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥5,210.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

NEC Corporation is a leading Japanese multinational specializing in comprehensive information and communication technology (ICT) solutions, serving diverse industries including public infrastructure, enterprise, and telecommunications. The company operates through five core segments—Public Solutions, Public Infrastructure, Enterprise, Network Services, and Global—delivering systems integration, cloud services, network infrastructure, and software solutions. NEC’s revenue model hinges on recurring maintenance contracts, large-scale systems integration projects, and hardware sales, with a growing emphasis on digital transformation and 5G infrastructure. The firm holds a strong position in Japan’s domestic market while expanding globally, particularly in safer city solutions and submarine network systems. Strategic collaborations, such as its partnership with Analog Devices for 5G antenna units, reinforce its technological edge. NEC differentiates itself through deep expertise in mission-critical systems, cybersecurity, and AI-driven automation, positioning it as a trusted partner for governments and enterprises requiring resilient, high-performance ICT infrastructure. Its diversified portfolio mitigates sector-specific risks while capitalizing on long-term trends like smart cities and enterprise digitalization.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

NEC reported revenue of ¥3.42 trillion (JPY) for FY2025, with net income of ¥175.2 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 5.1%. Operating cash flow stood at ¥344.4 billion, underscoring solid cash generation, though capital expenditures of ¥150.6 billion indicate ongoing investments in infrastructure and R&D. The company’s diluted EPS of ¥131.5 demonstrates steady earnings power, supported by cost discipline and segment diversification.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

NEC’s earnings are underpinned by high-margin services such as systems integration and cloud solutions, complemented by stable hardware sales. The firm’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to convert 10.1% of revenue into operating cash flow, though debt levels (¥666.4 billion) suggest leveraged growth strategies. ROIC metrics would provide further clarity, but the current EPS growth signals effective capital deployment.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

NEC maintains a robust balance sheet with ¥584.6 billion in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity against total debt of ¥666.4 billion. The net debt position is manageable, supported by consistent operating cash flows. The company’s financial health is further reinforced by its investment-grade credit profile and disciplined capex allocation, though leverage monitoring remains prudent.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

NEC’s growth is driven by demand for digital transformation and 5G infrastructure, with a focus on international expansion. The dividend payout of ¥28 per share reflects a conservative but stable policy, with a yield of approximately 1.5% (assuming current share price). Shareholder returns may prioritize reinvestment in high-growth areas like AI and cybersecurity over aggressive dividend hikes.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of ¥5.00 trillion, NEC trades at a P/E of ~28.5x (based on FY2025 EPS), aligning with peers in the ICT services sector. The low beta (0.29) suggests defensive positioning, but investors likely price in execution risks in global expansion and margin sustainability amid competitive pressures.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

NEC’s strengths lie in its entrenched domestic market share, technological partnerships, and expertise in mission-critical systems. Near-term challenges include global supply chain volatility and capex intensity, but long-term prospects are bolstered by secular demand for cybersecurity, AI, and smart infrastructure. The company’s focus on high-value solutions positions it to outperform in a digitizing economy.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg, investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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