investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueAgnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM.TO)

Previous Close$258.84
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$258.84

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited is a leading gold producer with a diversified portfolio of high-quality mining assets across Canada, Mexico, and Finland. The company operates through two primary segments—Northern Business and Southern Business—focusing on gold production while also exploring silver, zinc, and copper deposits. Its flagship LaRonde mine in Quebec is a cornerstone asset, contributing significantly to reserves and production. Agnico Eagle maintains a disciplined approach to exploration and development, ensuring long-term resource sustainability. The company benefits from operational expertise in politically stable jurisdictions, reducing geopolitical risks compared to peers in more volatile regions. Its vertically integrated model, from exploration to production, enhances cost control and operational efficiency. In the competitive gold mining sector, Agnico Eagle stands out for its consistent execution, low-cost structure, and commitment to sustainable mining practices. The company’s strategic acquisitions and organic growth initiatives position it as a key player in the global gold market, with a strong balance sheet supporting further expansion.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Agnico Eagle reported revenue of CAD 8.29 billion, with net income reaching CAD 1.90 billion, reflecting robust profitability in the gold sector. The company’s diluted EPS of CAD 3.78 underscores its earnings strength, supported by efficient operations and disciplined cost management. Operating cash flow stood at CAD 3.96 billion, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities, while capital expenditures of CAD 1.83 billion indicate sustained investment in growth and maintenance.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates solid earnings power, with a net income margin of approximately 23%, driven by high gold prices and operational efficiency. Agnico Eagle’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to capital expenditures, ensuring self-funded growth. Its focus on low-cost production and reserve replacement enhances long-term capital returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Agnico Eagle maintains a strong balance sheet, with CAD 926 million in cash and equivalents and total debt of CAD 1.28 billion, reflecting a conservative leverage profile. The company’s liquidity position is robust, supported by healthy cash flow generation, providing flexibility for strategic investments and dividend payments without compromising financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has a history of steady production growth, supported by exploration success and strategic acquisitions. Agnico Eagle’s dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with a dividend per share of CAD 2.22, reflecting its commitment to returning capital while reinvesting in high-return projects. Future growth is expected from pipeline assets and operational optimization.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CAD 81.63 billion and a beta of 0.53, Agnico Eagle is viewed as a lower-risk gold producer. The stock’s valuation reflects its premium positioning in the sector, driven by consistent performance, strong reserves, and growth potential. Market expectations are anchored on stable gold prices and the company’s ability to deliver on production targets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Agnico Eagle’s strategic advantages include its geographic diversification, low-cost operations, and proven exploration capabilities. The outlook remains positive, supported by a strong project pipeline and disciplined capital allocation. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on gold market dynamics while maintaining financial resilience and sustainable mining practices.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount