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Intrinsic ValueBayer AG (BAYN.DE)

Previous Close44.56
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
44.56

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Bayer AG is a diversified life science company operating in pharmaceuticals, consumer health, and crop science. Its Pharmaceuticals segment focuses on specialty therapeutics in oncology, hematology, and ophthalmology, alongside diagnostic imaging and cell/gene therapies. The Consumer Health segment provides over-the-counter products in dermatology, nutrition, and digestive health. The Crop Science division delivers chemical and biological crop protection, seeds, and digital farming solutions, positioning Bayer as a leader in agricultural innovation. Bayer collaborates with academic and industry partners, such as MD Anderson Cancer Center and Kyoto University, to enhance its R&D pipeline. The company distributes through wholesalers, pharmacies, and directly to farmers, leveraging its global supply chain. Despite legal challenges in recent years, Bayer maintains a strong market presence due to its diversified portfolio and strategic partnerships.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Bayer reported revenue of €46.6 billion in FY 2024, reflecting its broad market reach. However, net income was negative at €-2.55 billion, impacted by legal settlements and restructuring costs. Operating cash flow remained robust at €7.37 billion, supporting ongoing operations. Capital expenditures totaled €-2.78 billion, indicating continued investment in R&D and infrastructure. The company’s efficiency metrics suggest room for improvement in profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Bayer’s diluted EPS stood at €-2.6, underscoring earnings challenges. The company’s capital efficiency is pressured by high debt levels and legal liabilities. However, strong operating cash flow provides a buffer for reinvestment in high-growth areas like pharmaceuticals and crop science. Strategic collaborations may enhance future earnings potential, but near-term headwinds persist.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Bayer’s balance sheet shows €6.19 billion in cash and equivalents against €40.7 billion in total debt, indicating significant leverage. The high debt load raises concerns about financial flexibility, though liquidity remains adequate. Legal contingencies continue to weigh on the company’s financial health, requiring careful management of liabilities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are mixed, with crop science and pharmaceuticals showing potential, while legal overhangs constrain near-term performance. The dividend per share was reduced to €0.11, reflecting conservative capital allocation amid financial pressures. Future growth hinges on successful pipeline developments and resolution of legal issues.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €24.04 billion and a beta of 0.98, Bayer trades at a discount to peers, reflecting investor caution. Market expectations are tempered by legal risks, though long-term potential in life sciences remains a key valuation driver.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Bayer’s strategic advantages include its diversified portfolio, strong R&D pipeline, and global distribution network. The outlook remains cautious due to legal and financial challenges, but innovation in pharmaceuticals and agriculture could drive recovery. Execution on restructuring and debt management will be critical for future success.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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