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Intrinsic ValueBurberry Group plc (BRBY.L)

Previous Close£1,099.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£1,099.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Burberry Group plc is a globally recognized luxury goods company operating in the high-end consumer cyclical sector. The company generates revenue through retail, wholesale, and licensing segments, offering a diversified portfolio including womenswear, menswear, accessories, and beauty products. Burberry’s direct-to-consumer strategy is supported by an extensive network of stores, concessions, and e-commerce, complemented by selective wholesale partnerships and licensing agreements. The brand maintains a strong presence in key markets such as Asia Pacific, Europe, and the Americas, leveraging its heritage and innovative designs to sustain premium positioning. Burberry competes in the luxury segment alongside brands like Louis Vuitton and Gucci, differentiating itself through British craftsmanship and iconic products like the trench coat. While the company faces cyclical demand risks, its balanced geographic footprint and digital expansion provide resilience. Licensing remains a smaller but stable revenue stream, allowing Burberry to extend brand reach without significant capital investment.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Burberry reported revenue of £2.97 billion for FY 2024, with net income of £270 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 9.1%. Operating cash flow stood at £506 million, demonstrating solid cash generation despite macroeconomic headwinds. Capital expenditures of £158 million indicate ongoing investments in retail expansion and digital capabilities. The company’s asset-light licensing model contributes to capital efficiency, though wholesale volatility remains a margin pressure point.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of 74p underscores Burberry’s earnings capacity, supported by pricing power and cost discipline. The company’s return on invested capital is tempered by high operating costs inherent to luxury retail, but its licensing segment delivers capital-light returns. Free cash flow conversion remains healthy, enabling reinvestment in brand equity and store upgrades while maintaining financial flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Burberry’s balance sheet shows £441 million in cash against £1.57 billion of total debt, reflecting moderate leverage. The company’s liquidity position is adequate, with operating cash flow covering interest obligations comfortably. Debt levels are manageable given stable cash flows, though currency fluctuations could impact covenant compliance in non-GBP markets.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been uneven due to regional demand shifts, with Asia Pacific recovering post-pandemic. The dividend per share of 42.7p signals a commitment to shareholder returns, with a payout ratio aligned with earnings sustainability. Burberry’s focus on digital and experiential retail aims to drive long-term growth, though near-term performance depends on luxury spending resilience.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of £3.44 billion, Burberry trades at a premium to peers, reflecting brand intangible value. The beta of 0.9 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, typical for luxury stocks. Investors appear to price in gradual margin expansion and mid-single-digit revenue growth, balancing cyclical risks against brand strength.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Burberry’s strategic advantages include brand heritage, global distribution, and a balanced business model. Near-term challenges include inflationary pressures and Chinese demand variability, but the company’s focus on digital innovation and product diversification supports resilience. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on macroeconomic stability and execution of retail enhancements.

Sources

Company filings, London Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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