investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueAXA S.A. (CS.PA)

Previous Close38.43
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
38.43

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

AXA SA is a global leader in diversified insurance, asset management, and banking services, operating across Europe, Asia, and international markets. The company’s core revenue model is built on life and savings insurance, property and casualty coverage, and specialized reinsurance solutions for corporate clients. Its diversified portfolio includes retirement products, health protection, and liability insurance, catering to both individual and business customers. AXA’s asset management division further strengthens its financial ecosystem by offering investment solutions across equities, bonds, and alternative assets. As one of the largest insurers in Europe, AXA maintains a strong competitive position through its extensive distribution network, brand recognition, and risk management expertise. The company’s international presence, particularly in high-growth Asian markets, provides a strategic advantage in balancing mature and emerging market exposures. AXA’s integrated approach—combining insurance underwriting with investment capabilities—enhances its resilience against sector volatility and positions it as a trusted partner for long-term financial security.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

AXA reported revenue of €89.8 billion in FY 2024, reflecting its broad geographic and product diversification. Net income stood at €7.9 billion, with diluted EPS of €3.5, indicating robust profitability. The company generated €12.5 billion in operating cash flow, underscoring efficient underwriting and investment operations. Notably, AXA’s capital expenditures were negligible, aligning with its asset-light business model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

AXA’s earnings power is driven by its balanced mix of insurance premiums and asset management fees. The company’s ability to generate consistent cash flow supports its capital allocation strategy, including dividends and strategic investments. With a focus on underwriting discipline and cost optimization, AXA maintains healthy margins despite competitive and regulatory pressures in key markets.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

AXA’s balance sheet remains solid, with €19 billion in cash and equivalents against €62.1 billion in total debt. The company’s leverage is manageable given its stable cash flows and diversified revenue streams. Its strong liquidity position ensures flexibility for growth initiatives and shareholder returns, while regulatory capital ratios remain comfortably above requirements.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

AXA has demonstrated steady growth in premiums and assets under management, particularly in Asia. The company’s dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with a €2.15 per share payout in FY 2024, reflecting confidence in sustained earnings. Strategic acquisitions and organic expansion in high-potential segments, such as health and reinsurance, are expected to drive future growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €89.1 billion and a beta of 1.11, AXA is priced as a stable yet growth-oriented financial services player. Investors likely value its geographic diversification, resilient earnings, and dividend yield, though macroeconomic and interest rate risks remain key considerations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

AXA’s strengths lie in its global scale, diversified product suite, and strong brand. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on aging populations and rising insurance penetration in emerging markets. Challenges include regulatory scrutiny and competitive pressures, but AXA’s focus on digital transformation and sustainable investing should support long-term value creation.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount