investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueThe Ensign Group, Inc. (ENSG)

Previous Close$167.99
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$167.99

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

The Ensign Group, Inc. operates in the healthcare sector, specializing in post-acute care services, including skilled nursing, assisted living, and rehabilitative care. The company generates revenue primarily through patient care reimbursements from Medicare, Medicaid, and private payors, leveraging a decentralized operational model that empowers local leaders to drive efficiency. Ensign has strategically expanded through acquisitions, positioning itself as a consolidator in the fragmented post-acute care market. Its focus on operational excellence and clinical outcomes differentiates it from competitors, allowing it to maintain strong occupancy rates and pricing power. The company’s diversified geographic footprint mitigates regional risks while providing scalability for future growth. Ensign’s ability to integrate acquisitions efficiently and improve margins underscores its competitive edge in a sector with high regulatory complexity and labor intensity.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Ensign reported revenue of $4.26 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $298 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 7.0%. Diluted EPS stood at $5.12, supported by disciplined cost management and revenue diversification. Operating cash flow was $347 million, though capital expenditures of $158 million indicate ongoing investments in facility upgrades and expansion. The company’s ability to sustain profitability amid labor cost pressures highlights its operational resilience.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Ensign’s earnings power is underpinned by its scalable acquisition model and ability to improve margins at newly acquired facilities. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate consistent cash flow, which funds both growth initiatives and debt servicing. With a focus on high-return investments, Ensign has demonstrated an ability to compound earnings over time, though labor inflation remains a key monitorable.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Ensign’s balance sheet shows $464.6 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $1.97 billion, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position. The company’s debt is primarily used to fund acquisitions, and its strong cash flow generation provides adequate coverage. Liquidity remains sufficient to support near-term obligations, though further leverage reduction could enhance financial flexibility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Ensign has grown revenue and earnings consistently through acquisitions and organic improvements. The company pays a modest dividend ($0.245 per share), signaling a preference for reinvesting cash flow into growth. Demographic tailwinds in post-acute care demand support long-term expansion, though reimbursement rate pressures and labor shortages pose near-term challenges.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market appears to price Ensign’s growth potential, with a P/E multiple reflecting confidence in its acquisition strategy. Investors likely anticipate margin stabilization as labor pressures ease and integration synergies materialize. Valuation metrics should be weighed against sector peers, considering Ensign’s superior operational track record.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Ensign’s decentralized model and acquisition expertise provide a durable competitive advantage. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on industry consolidation, though regulatory and labor dynamics require careful navigation. Long-term prospects remain favorable given aging demographics, but execution on margin improvement will be critical to sustaining shareholder returns.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount