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Intrinsic Value of Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX)

Previous Close$11.39
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$11.39

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Garrett Motion Inc. operates in the automotive technology sector, specializing in advanced turbocharging, electric boosting, and connected vehicle solutions for light and commercial vehicles. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of turbochargers and related components, serving OEMs and aftermarket customers globally. Its product portfolio includes cutting-edge technologies that enhance fuel efficiency and reduce emissions, aligning with stringent environmental regulations. Garrett Motion holds a strong position in the turbocharging market, leveraging its engineering expertise and long-standing relationships with major automakers. The company competes in a highly technical and capital-intensive industry, where innovation and cost efficiency are critical. Its focus on electrification and hybrid solutions positions it well for the transition toward sustainable mobility, though it faces competition from established players and emerging disruptors. Garrett’s market share and technological leadership in turbocharging provide a solid foundation, but its growth depends on adapting to evolving automotive trends.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Garrett Motion reported revenue of $3.48 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $282 million, reflecting an 8.1% net margin. Diluted EPS stood at $1.26, indicating solid profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $408 million, though capital expenditures were negligible, suggesting efficient asset utilization. The company’s ability to convert revenue into cash underscores its operational discipline and cost management.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its high-margin turbocharging solutions, with diluted EPS growth reflecting effective pricing and volume leverage. Operating cash flow significantly exceeds net income, highlighting strong working capital management. The absence of capital expenditures in the period suggests deferred investments or optimized existing capacity, though this may raise questions about long-term growth sustainability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Garrett Motion’s balance sheet shows $125 million in cash and equivalents against $1.52 billion in total debt, indicating a leveraged position. The debt load may constrain financial flexibility, though the company’s consistent cash generation helps service obligations. Shareholders’ equity is not provided, but the debt-to-revenue ratio of 0.44 suggests moderate leverage relative to industry peers.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends are stable, with growth likely tied to automotive production cycles and regulatory-driven demand for fuel-efficient technologies. The company pays a modest dividend of $0.06 per share, signaling a commitment to returning capital but prioritizing debt management and operational reinvestment. Future growth may hinge on electrification adoption and expansion in emerging markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap implied by the given shares outstanding, the company trades at a P/E multiple derived from its $1.26 EPS. Investors likely price in expectations for steady cash flow and margin stability, balanced against debt concerns and cyclical exposure. The valuation reflects cautious optimism about Garrett’s niche in emission-reduction technologies.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Garrett Motion’s strengths lie in its turbocharging expertise and OEM relationships, which provide recurring revenue. However, the shift toward electrification poses both risks and opportunities. The company’s ability to innovate in hybrid solutions will be critical. Near-term challenges include debt servicing and macroeconomic volatility, but its technology roadmap positions it as a key player in sustainable automotive systems.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001735707), implied financial metrics

show cash flow forecast

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