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Intrinsic Value of Hess Corporation (HES)

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Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
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$0.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Hess Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company focused on hydrocarbon resources, primarily crude oil and natural gas. The company’s revenue model is driven by upstream activities, including exploration, development, and production across key basins such as the Bakken Shale, Gulf of Mexico, and offshore Guyana through its stake in the Stabroek Block. Hess has strategically positioned itself in high-growth, low-breakeven cost regions, particularly leveraging its Guyana partnership with ExxonMobil, which is expected to contribute significantly to long-term production growth. The company’s portfolio balances short-cycle shale assets with long-duration offshore projects, providing a mix of near-term cash flow and long-term resource potential. Its market position is strengthened by operational efficiency, disciplined capital allocation, and a focus on ESG initiatives, aligning with industry shifts toward sustainable energy practices.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Hess reported revenue of $12.9 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $2.77 billion, reflecting robust profitability driven by higher production volumes and favorable commodity prices. Diluted EPS stood at $8.98, underscoring strong earnings power. Operating cash flow reached $5.6 billion, while capital expenditures totaled $4.95 billion, indicating disciplined reinvestment in growth projects. The company’s cash flow generation highlights operational efficiency and cost management.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Hess demonstrates substantial earnings power, with its Guyana assets contributing to margin expansion due to low breakeven costs. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to fund growth while maintaining profitability. Free cash flow, after capex, supports further investment and shareholder returns, reflecting a balanced approach to capital allocation.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Hess maintains a solid balance sheet with $1.17 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of $9.46 billion. The debt level is manageable given strong cash flow generation and a focus on deleveraging. The company’s liquidity position and access to capital markets provide flexibility to navigate commodity price volatility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Production growth is a key focus, particularly from Guyana, where reserves and output are expanding rapidly. Hess has a consistent dividend policy, with a $1.89 per share payout in FY 2024, reflecting commitment to shareholder returns. The company’s growth trajectory is supported by a pipeline of high-return projects, ensuring long-term value creation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Hess trades at a premium relative to peers, reflecting market optimism around its Guyana assets and growth potential. Valuation metrics are supported by strong cash flow visibility and reserve upside. Investor expectations are anchored in the company’s ability to execute on its development plans and sustain profitability.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Hess’s strategic advantages include its high-quality asset base, partnership in Guyana, and operational expertise. The outlook remains positive, with production growth and cost discipline driving future performance. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on energy demand while adhering to sustainability goals, ensuring resilience in a dynamic market environment.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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