investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS)

Previous Close$67.38
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$67.38

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. operates as a leading processor and distributor of nuts, trail mixes, and snack products in the U.S. food manufacturing sector. The company generates revenue through branded (Fisher, Orchard Valley Harvest) and private-label products, serving retail, foodservice, and industrial customers. Its vertically integrated operations—from sourcing raw materials to packaging—enhance cost efficiency and quality control. JBSS holds a strong market position as the second-largest U.S. nut processor, benefiting from consumer demand for healthy snacks. Competitive advantages include long-term supplier relationships, a diversified customer base, and a reputation for product consistency. The company navigates commodity price volatility through strategic hedging and operational flexibility, reinforcing its resilience in a competitive landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY2024, JBSS reported revenue of $1.07 billion, with net income of $60.2 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 5.6%. Operating cash flow stood at $101.7 million, underscoring solid cash generation. Capital expenditures of $28.3 million indicate disciplined reinvestment, with free cash flow supporting shareholder returns. The company’s efficiency is evident in its ability to manage input cost fluctuations while maintaining profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of $5.15 demonstrates JBSS’s earnings strength, driven by volume growth and operational leverage. The company’s capital efficiency is supported by its asset-light model and focus on high-margin branded products. With no significant debt maturities near-term, JBSS maintains flexibility to fund growth initiatives or opportunistic acquisitions.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

JBSS holds $484,000 in cash and equivalents, with total debt of $55.6 million, resulting in a conservative leverage profile. The balance sheet remains robust, with debt manageable relative to operating cash flow. Working capital management is a priority, ensuring liquidity for seasonal inventory needs and supplier payments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, supported by expanding distribution and product innovation. The company pays a dividend of $0.85 per share, offering a yield aligned with industry peers. JBSS’s commitment to returning capital reflects confidence in sustained cash flow generation, though reinvestment opportunities may temper aggressive dividend hikes.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E multiple derived from its $5.15 EPS, JBSS is valued in line with mid-cap food processors. Market expectations hinge on volume stability and margin preservation amid commodity inflation. The stock’s performance will likely correlate with execution in branded product expansion and cost containment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

JBSS’s strategic advantages include its diversified product portfolio, operational agility, and strong retailer relationships. The outlook remains positive, with growth opportunities in private-label expansion and health-focused snacks. Risks include nut price volatility and competitive private-label pricing, but the company’s hedging practices and scale provide mitigation.

Sources

10-K filing, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount