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Intrinsic Value of McCormick & Company, Incorporated (MKC)

Previous Close$71.95
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$71.95

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

McCormick & Company, Incorporated operates as a global leader in the flavor industry, specializing in spices, seasonings, condiments, and other flavor-enhancing products. The company serves both retail consumers and foodservice professionals, with a diversified portfolio that includes iconic brands like McCormick, Lawry's, and Frank's RedHot. Its revenue model is driven by branded product sales in retail channels and bulk sales to food manufacturers and restaurants, ensuring resilience across economic cycles. McCormick holds a dominant position in North America and a growing footprint in international markets, particularly in Europe and Asia-Pacific. The company's strategic acquisitions, such as the purchase of FONA International and Cholula Hot Sauce, have expanded its product offerings and market reach. McCormick's emphasis on innovation, sustainability, and consumer trends like clean-label and plant-based diets reinforces its competitive edge in a highly fragmented industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

McCormick reported revenue of $6.72 billion for FY 2024, reflecting steady demand across its product categories. Net income stood at $788.5 million, with diluted EPS of $2.92, indicating robust profitability. Operating cash flow was $921.9 million, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures of $274.9 million were directed toward capacity expansion and operational improvements, aligning with long-term growth objectives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates strong earnings power, with consistent margins driven by pricing strategies and cost optimization. McCormick's ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to capital expenditures highlights capital efficiency. Its focus on high-margin branded products and strategic acquisitions further enhances returns on invested capital, positioning it well for sustained earnings growth.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

McCormick's balance sheet shows $186.1 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $4.51 billion, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position. The company maintains investment-grade credit ratings, supported by stable cash flows and a disciplined approach to debt management. Its liquidity profile remains adequate to meet near-term obligations and fund growth initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

McCormick has delivered consistent revenue growth, driven by organic expansion and acquisitions. The company pays a reliable dividend, with $1.68 per share in FY 2024, underscoring its commitment to shareholder returns. Future growth is expected to be fueled by international expansion, product innovation, and penetration into emerging markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values McCormick for its defensive qualities, stable cash flows, and strong brand equity. Trading multiples reflect expectations of mid-single-digit revenue growth and margin stability, with investors pricing in the company's ability to navigate inflationary pressures and supply chain challenges.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

McCormick's strategic advantages include its leading market share, diversified portfolio, and global supply chain. The outlook remains positive, with growth initiatives focused on innovation, sustainability, and digital transformation. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on long-term trends in health-conscious and convenience-driven consumer preferences.

Sources

10-K filing, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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