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Intrinsic ValueMonro, Inc. (MNRO)

Previous Close$17.31
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$17.31

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Monro, Inc. operates as a leading provider of automotive undercar repair and tire services in the United States, primarily serving the aftermarket vehicle maintenance sector. The company generates revenue through a network of company-operated stores offering brakes, mufflers, alignments, tires, and other mechanical services, positioning itself as a one-stop solution for cost-conscious consumers. Monro’s business model thrives on recurring demand for vehicle maintenance, benefiting from the aging U.S. car fleet and the trend toward deferred new vehicle purchases. Its market position is reinforced by strategic acquisitions, which expand geographic reach and consolidate regional market share. The company competes with both independent repair shops and national chains, differentiating itself through brand recognition, scale efficiencies, and a value-oriented service proposition. Monro’s focus on essential, non-discretionary repairs provides resilience against economic downturns, though it faces margin pressures from labor costs and competitive pricing dynamics in the fragmented automotive service industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Monro reported revenue of $1.28 billion for FY2024, with net income of $37.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 2.9%. Diluted EPS stood at $1.14, while operating cash flow of $125.2 million demonstrated solid cash generation. Capital expenditures of $25.5 million suggest disciplined reinvestment, aligning with maintenance and modest growth needs. The company’s profitability metrics indicate operational leverage potential, though competitive pressures and cost inflation may weigh on margins.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Monro’s earnings power is underpinned by stable demand for essential automotive services, with operating cash flow covering capital expenditures and dividends. The company’s capital efficiency is moderate, as evidenced by its ability to generate cash flow despite thin net margins. Debt levels relative to cash flow warrant monitoring, but the asset-light model supports returns on invested capital over cycles.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Monro’s balance sheet shows $6.6 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $611 million, indicating a leveraged position. However, the company’s consistent operating cash flow provides capacity to service obligations. The absence of significant near-term maturities and manageable leverage ratios suggest financial flexibility, though further debt reduction could improve resilience.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Monro’s growth is driven by organic store performance and accretive acquisitions, though revenue growth has been tempered by macroeconomic headwinds. The company maintains a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, distributing $1.12 per share annually, yielding approximately 3.5% as of recent pricing. Payout ratios appear sustainable, supported by stable cash flows and a focus on maintaining liquidity.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Monro trades at a P/E multiple reflective of its low-growth, defensive profile, with market expectations centered on steady cash flows rather than rapid expansion. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is priced for modest earnings growth, with potential upside tied to operational improvements or accretive M&A. The dividend yield may appeal to income-oriented investors seeking exposure to the automotive aftermarket sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Monro’s strategic advantages include its national scale, brand recognition, and focus on non-discretionary services. The outlook remains stable, with opportunities to improve margins through cost controls and pricing strategies. Long-term success hinges on balancing competitive pricing with service quality, while navigating labor shortages and evolving vehicle technology. The company’s acquisition strategy could further solidify its market position if executed prudently.

Sources

10-K filing for FY2024, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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