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Intrinsic Value of NOV Inc. (NOV)

Previous Close$13.25
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$13.25

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

NOV Inc. operates as a leading provider of technology, equipment, and services to the global oil and gas industry. The company serves upstream, midstream, and downstream segments, offering drilling solutions, production equipment, and digital technologies that enhance operational efficiency. Its diversified portfolio includes rig systems, wellbore technologies, and completion solutions, positioning NOV as a critical enabler for energy companies navigating complex extraction and production challenges. The firm competes in a cyclical industry but maintains resilience through innovation and long-term customer relationships. NOV’s market position is reinforced by its extensive R&D investments, which drive advancements in automation and sustainability. While the energy sector faces volatility, NOV’s integrated offerings and global footprint provide stability, allowing it to capitalize on both conventional and renewable energy opportunities. The company’s ability to adapt to shifting industry demands underscores its role as a trusted partner in energy infrastructure development.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

NOV reported revenue of $8.87 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $635 million, reflecting a margin of approximately 7.2%. Diluted EPS stood at $1.60, supported by disciplined cost management. Operating cash flow reached $1.30 billion, while capital expenditures were $351 million, indicating efficient reinvestment. The company’s profitability metrics demonstrate resilience despite sector cyclicality, with cash generation underscoring operational strength.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

NOV’s earnings power is evident in its $1.30 billion operating cash flow, which comfortably covers its $351 million in capital expenditures. The firm’s capital efficiency is further highlighted by its ability to maintain profitability in a challenging market, with diluted EPS of $1.60. These metrics suggest effective allocation of resources, balancing growth investments with shareholder returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

NOV’s balance sheet shows $1.23 billion in cash and equivalents against $2.39 billion in total debt, indicating a manageable leverage position. The company’s liquidity is robust, supported by strong operating cash flow. This financial health provides flexibility to navigate industry downturns while funding strategic initiatives, though debt levels warrant monitoring given sector volatility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

NOV’s growth is tied to oil and gas industry cycles, but its diversified offerings mitigate downturns. The company paid a dividend of $0.51 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital. While reinvestment remains a priority, the dividend signals confidence in sustained cash generation. Future growth may hinge on energy transition opportunities and operational scalability.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization derived from 392 million shares outstanding, NOV’s valuation reflects its cyclical exposure but also its cash flow stability. Investors likely price in moderate growth expectations, balancing near-term energy demand with long-term industry shifts. The stock’s performance will depend on execution in both traditional and emerging energy markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

NOV’s strategic advantages include its technological leadership, global service network, and adaptability to energy trends. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with opportunities in digitalization and sustainable energy solutions. However, macroeconomic and commodity price risks persist. The company’s ability to innovate and maintain cost discipline will be critical to outperforming peers in a dynamic market.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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