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Intrinsic Value of Newell Brands Inc. (NWL)

Previous Close$5.81
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$5.81

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Newell Brands Inc. operates as a global consumer goods company with a diversified portfolio spanning home appliances, writing instruments, baby products, and outdoor gear. The company generates revenue primarily through branded consumer products sold via retail channels, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale distributors. Its well-known brands, including Sharpie, Rubbermaid, and Graco, provide a competitive edge in fragmented markets, though it faces intense competition from both established players and private-label alternatives. Newell’s market position is bolstered by its extensive distribution network and brand recognition, but it must navigate shifting consumer preferences and pricing pressures. The company’s multi-category approach mitigates sector-specific risks while allowing cross-selling opportunities, though execution challenges in supply chain optimization and innovation remain critical for sustained growth.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Newell Brands reported revenue of $7.58 billion for FY 2024, reflecting ongoing demand for its consumer products. However, net income stood at -$216 million, with diluted EPS of -$0.52, indicating margin pressures from inflation and restructuring costs. Operating cash flow of $496 million suggests decent liquidity generation, though capital expenditures of $259 million highlight reinvestment needs. The company’s efficiency metrics warrant scrutiny given its negative profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is constrained by its recent net loss, though operating cash flow remains positive. Elevated total debt of $5.12 billion against $198 million in cash raises concerns about leverage. Capital efficiency is under pressure, with free cash flow likely strained by debt servicing and reinvestment requirements. Improving margins through cost optimization will be critical to restoring sustainable earnings.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Newell’s balance sheet shows significant leverage, with total debt at $5.12 billion dwarfing its $198 million cash position. This high debt load may limit financial flexibility, especially amid volatile consumer demand. The company’s ability to refinance or reduce debt will be pivotal, particularly as interest rates remain elevated. Liquidity from operating cash flow provides some buffer, but deleveraging is a priority.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends appear muted, with profitability challenges overshadowing top-line stability. The dividend of $0.28 per share signals commitment to shareholder returns, but sustainability depends on earnings recovery. Strategic initiatives, including portfolio optimization and cost cuts, aim to revive growth, though execution risks persist. Dividend coverage remains weak given negative EPS, suggesting potential for future adjustments if profitability does not improve.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices Newell at a discount due to its leveraged balance sheet and inconsistent profitability. Investors may demand clearer signs of margin improvement and debt reduction before assigning higher multiples. Valuation hinges on successful execution of turnaround efforts, with skepticism lingering around near-term earnings potential.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Newell’s diversified brand portfolio and global reach provide foundational strengths, but operational challenges and debt overhang temper optimism. The outlook depends on effective cost management, innovation, and debt reduction. If successful, the company could regain pricing power and investor confidence, but macroeconomic headwinds and competitive pressures remain key risks.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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