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Intrinsic Value of Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)

Previous Close$46.31
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$46.31

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) is a leading independent energy company with a diversified portfolio spanning upstream oil and gas exploration, midstream logistics, and chemical manufacturing. The company operates primarily in the Permian Basin, one of the most prolific hydrocarbon regions globally, leveraging advanced drilling techniques like enhanced oil recovery (EOR) to maximize resource extraction. OXY’s vertically integrated model allows it to capture value across the energy supply chain, from production to marketing, while maintaining cost efficiencies. In the competitive oil and gas sector, OXY distinguishes itself through technological innovation, particularly in carbon capture and sequestration (CCS), positioning it as a forward-thinking player in the energy transition. Its Oxy Low Carbon Ventures subsidiary focuses on sustainable solutions, aligning with global decarbonization trends. The company’s market position is further strengthened by long-term contracts and strategic partnerships, ensuring stable cash flows despite commodity price volatility.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Occidental reported revenue of $26.7 billion, with net income of $3.1 billion, reflecting robust operational performance despite fluctuating energy prices. The company’s diluted EPS stood at $2.44, supported by disciplined cost management and high-margin production. Operating cash flow of $11.4 billion underscores strong cash generation, while capital expenditures of $7.0 billion indicate continued investment in growth and efficiency projects.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Occidental’s earnings power is evident in its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow, which funds both reinvestment and shareholder returns. The company’s capital efficiency is highlighted by its focus on high-return projects, particularly in the Permian Basin. With a disciplined approach to capital allocation, OXY balances growth initiatives with debt reduction and dividend payments.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

OXY’s balance sheet shows $2.1 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of $27.1 billion, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position. The company has prioritized debt reduction in recent years, improving its financial flexibility. Strong cash flow generation provides a cushion for meeting obligations and funding strategic initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Occidental’s growth is driven by its Permian Basin operations and CCS initiatives, with a focus on sustainable energy solutions. The company maintains a consistent dividend policy, with a dividend per share of $1.56 in FY 2024, appealing to income-focused investors. Future growth will likely hinge on commodity prices and the success of its low-carbon ventures.

Valuation And Market Expectations

OXY’s valuation reflects its position as a mid-tier oil producer with growth potential in both traditional and sustainable energy segments. Market expectations are tempered by commodity price volatility, but the company’s strategic initiatives in CCS and cost efficiency provide a competitive edge. Investors weigh its debt levels against its cash flow stability and growth prospects.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Occidental’s strategic advantages include its Permian Basin dominance, technological leadership in EOR and CCS, and vertical integration. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with energy transition initiatives offering long-term growth potential. However, near-term performance will depend on oil price trends and execution of debt reduction plans.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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