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Intrinsic ValueRogers Communications Inc. (RCI-B.TO)

Previous Close$51.40
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$51.40

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Rogers Communications Inc. is a dominant player in Canada's telecommunications and media landscape, operating through its Wireless, Cable, and Media segments. The company generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services, including mobile and internet offerings, complemented by media assets such as Sportsnet and Citytv. Its diversified portfolio allows it to serve both consumer and business markets, leveraging advanced technologies like IoT solutions and cloud-based services. Rogers holds a strong market position with approximately 11.3 million wireless subscribers, supported by well-known brands like Rogers, Fido, and chatr. The company's integrated approach—combining connectivity, content, and entertainment—enhances customer retention and cross-selling opportunities. Additionally, ownership of the Toronto Blue Jays and Rogers Centre provides unique synergies between its media and live event segments. Competitive pressures persist from rivals like Bell and Telus, but Rogers' scale and infrastructure investments help maintain its leadership in key urban markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Rogers reported FY revenue of CAD 20.6 billion, with net income of CAD 1.73 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 8.4%. Operating cash flow stood at CAD 5.68 billion, underscoring strong cash generation capabilities. Capital expenditures of CAD 4.17 billion indicate ongoing investments in network infrastructure and technology, critical for maintaining service quality and competitive positioning.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS of CAD 3.24 demonstrates its ability to convert top-line growth into shareholder returns. High operating cash flow relative to net income suggests efficient working capital management. However, elevated capital expenditures highlight the capital-intensive nature of the telecom industry, requiring disciplined allocation to sustain long-term earnings power.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Rogers' balance sheet shows CAD 898 million in cash against total debt of CAD 47.63 billion, reflecting significant leverage. The debt load is typical for telecom operators but necessitates careful liquidity management. The company's ability to service debt is supported by stable cash flows, though investors should monitor leverage ratios amid rising interest rates.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Rogers offers a dividend yield of approximately 3.8%, with a payout of CAD 2 per share, signaling commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Growth is driven by wireless subscriber additions, broadband expansion, and media monetization. The company's focus on 5G and fiber rollout positions it for future revenue streams, though regulatory and competitive risks persist.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CAD 19.87 billion and a beta of 0.83, Rogers is viewed as a relatively stable investment within the telecom sector. Current valuation multiples reflect expectations of moderate growth, balanced by the company's defensive characteristics and dividend appeal. Investor sentiment may hinge on execution in 5G deployment and debt reduction efforts.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Rogers benefits from scale, brand strength, and vertical integration across telecom and media. Strategic priorities include network modernization, customer experience enhancements, and content differentiation. Challenges include regulatory scrutiny and competitive intensity, but the company's diversified revenue base and infrastructure assets provide resilience. Long-term success will depend on balancing growth investments with shareholder returns.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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