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Intrinsic Value of Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. (RGR)

Previous Close$35.65
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$35.65

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc. operates as a leading manufacturer of firearms for commercial and law enforcement markets in the United States. The company designs, produces, and sells rifles, pistols, and revolvers under the Ruger brand, catering to hunting, sport shooting, and personal defense segments. Ruger maintains a vertically integrated production model, controlling manufacturing from raw materials to finished goods, which enhances cost efficiency and quality assurance. The firearms industry is highly regulated and cyclical, influenced by political, economic, and social factors. Ruger competes with domestic and international manufacturers, leveraging its reputation for reliability, innovation, and American-made craftsmanship. Its direct sales to distributors and independent retailers provide broad market reach while maintaining lean inventory management. The company’s market position is bolstered by its strong brand loyalty and consistent product development, though it faces challenges from shifting consumer demand and regulatory pressures.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, Ruger reported revenue of $535.6 million, with net income of $30.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 5.7%. Diluted EPS stood at $1.78. Operating cash flow was $55.5 million, while capital expenditures totaled $20.8 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment. The company’s profitability metrics suggest moderate efficiency, though margins are influenced by raw material costs and competitive pricing dynamics in the firearms market.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Ruger’s earnings power is supported by its vertically integrated operations, which help mitigate cost pressures. The company generated $55.5 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating solid cash conversion. Capital expenditures were focused on maintaining production capacity and efficiency, with free cash flow likely directed toward dividends and potential share repurchases. The modest debt level of $1.7 million underscores a conservative capital structure, enhancing financial flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Ruger’s balance sheet remains robust, with $10.0 million in cash and equivalents and minimal total debt of $1.7 million. The low leverage ratio reflects a conservative approach to financing, reducing interest expense risk. Shareholders’ equity is supported by retained earnings, though the company’s liquidity position could be further strengthened to navigate industry volatility or downturns in demand.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends in the firearms industry are often tied to external factors such as legislative changes and consumer sentiment. Ruger’s dividend policy, with a payout of $0.72 per share, signals a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. However, growth prospects may be constrained by market saturation and regulatory headwinds, requiring continued innovation and operational efficiency to sustain long-term performance.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Ruger’s valuation reflects its position in a cyclical industry, with market expectations likely tempered by regulatory uncertainties and competitive pressures. The company’s P/E ratio, derived from its $1.78 EPS, suggests investor caution. Future performance will hinge on demand trends, cost management, and the ability to navigate evolving firearm regulations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Ruger’s strategic advantages include its strong brand recognition, vertical integration, and focus on product innovation. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on stable demand and effective cost controls. Regulatory developments and macroeconomic conditions will be critical factors influencing performance. The company’s conservative financial posture positions it to weather industry fluctuations while maintaining shareholder returns.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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