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Intrinsic ValueSafran S.A. (SAF.PA)

Previous Close301.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
301.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Safran SA is a global leader in aerospace and defense, operating through three core segments: Aerospace Propulsion, Aircraft Equipment, Defense and Aerosystems, and Aircraft Interiors. The company specializes in designing, manufacturing, and servicing propulsion systems, landing gears, avionics, and cabin interiors for both civil and military aircraft. Its diversified portfolio includes high-value components like nacelles, thrust reversers, and in-flight entertainment systems, positioning Safran as a critical supplier to major aircraft manufacturers such as Airbus and Boeing. The company’s aftermarket services, including maintenance and spare parts, provide recurring revenue streams, enhancing its resilience against cyclical demand. Safran’s technological expertise in optronics, electrical systems, and drone applications further strengthens its competitive edge in defense markets. With a strong presence in Europe and expanding global footprint, Safran benefits from long-term contracts and regulatory barriers that favor incumbents in the aerospace sector. Its integration of advanced materials and digital solutions underscores its commitment to innovation, ensuring relevance in an industry increasingly focused on sustainability and efficiency.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Safran reported revenue of €27.7 billion for the period, though net income stood at a loss of €667 million, reflecting industry-wide challenges such as supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures. Operating cash flow remained robust at €4.7 billion, supported by aftermarket services and cost discipline. Capital expenditures of €1.0 billion indicate sustained investment in R&D and production capacity, critical for long-term growth.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of -€1.6 highlights near-term earnings pressure, but its strong cash generation underscores underlying operational resilience. Safran’s focus on high-margin aftermarket services and defense contracts provides stability, while its capital allocation prioritizes innovation and strategic acquisitions to enhance market positioning.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Safran maintains a solid balance sheet with €6.5 billion in cash and equivalents against €5.1 billion in total debt, reflecting prudent liquidity management. The moderate leverage ratio supports financial flexibility, enabling the company to navigate cyclical downturns and invest in growth initiatives without compromising stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite recent profitability challenges, Safran’s dividend of €2.2 per share signals confidence in its cash flow durability. Growth is expected to accelerate as commercial aviation recovers and defense spending rises globally, with aftermarket services and next-gen technologies driving future revenue expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €106 billion and a beta of 1.13, Safran is priced as a high-quality industrial with exposure to aerospace recovery and defense tailwinds. Investors likely anticipate margin improvement as operational efficiencies and pricing power mitigate cost pressures.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Safran’s entrenched relationships with OEMs, technological leadership, and diversified revenue base position it well for long-term growth. The company’s focus on sustainable aviation and defense innovation aligns with industry megatrends, though macroeconomic volatility and geopolitical risks remain key monitorables.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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