investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Stifel Financial Corp. (SF)

Previous Close$108.18
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$108.18

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Stifel Financial Corp. operates as a diversified financial services firm, primarily focusing on wealth management, investment banking, and institutional equity and fixed-income sales. The company generates revenue through advisory fees, commissions, and interest income, serving a broad client base including individuals, corporations, and institutions. Stifel distinguishes itself through a client-centric approach, leveraging its mid-market expertise to compete with larger Wall Street firms while maintaining agility and personalized service. Its market position is reinforced by a strong regional presence and a reputation for deep sector knowledge in industries such as healthcare, technology, and financial services. The firm’s hybrid model, combining wealth management with investment banking, provides stability amid market volatility, though it faces competition from both bulge-bracket banks and boutique advisory firms. Stifel’s ability to cross-sell services across its divisions enhances revenue diversification and client retention.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Stifel reported revenue of $5.95 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $731.4 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 12.3%. Diluted EPS stood at $6.93, demonstrating solid profitability. Operating cash flow was $490.4 million, though capital expenditures were negligible, indicating efficient capital deployment. The firm’s revenue mix likely benefits from recurring wealth management fees, offsetting cyclical investment banking revenues.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its diversified revenue streams, with wealth management providing stable income and investment banking driving higher-margin, albeit volatile, earnings. Stifel’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate substantial net income relative to its equity base, though further details on ROE or ROA would provide deeper insight into its capital allocation effectiveness.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Stifel maintains a strong balance sheet, with $2.92 billion in cash and equivalents against $1.54 billion in total debt, suggesting a conservative leverage profile. The liquidity position provides flexibility for strategic investments or shareholder returns. The absence of significant capital expenditures underscores a capital-light operational model, reinforcing financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Stifel’s growth is likely tied to market conditions, with wealth management offering steady expansion and investment banking subject to deal flow fluctuations. The firm paid a dividend of $1.72 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Future growth may hinge on organic expansion and selective acquisitions in high-margin segments.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values Stifel based on its earnings consistency and mid-market niche. A diluted EPS of $6.93 suggests a reasonable valuation, though comparables with peers would clarify relative positioning. Investor expectations may focus on the firm’s ability to sustain profitability across economic cycles.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Stifel’s strategic advantages include its integrated model, sector expertise, and regional strength. The outlook depends on its ability to navigate interest rate environments and capitalize on advisory opportunities. Continued focus on high-growth sectors and client retention could drive long-term performance, though macroeconomic headwinds remain a risk.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount