Previous Close | $9.06 |
Intrinsic Value | $0.00 |
Upside potential | -100% |
Data is not available at this time.
Tredegar Corporation operates as a diversified industrial company with two primary segments: Aluminum Extrusions and PE Films. The Aluminum Extrusions segment manufactures high-quality aluminum components for industries such as automotive, construction, and consumer durables, leveraging precision engineering and cost-efficient production. The PE Films segment produces specialized plastic films for applications in hygiene, packaging, and industrial markets, emphasizing innovation and sustainability. Tredegar’s market position is bolstered by its niche expertise in high-performance materials, though it faces competitive pressures from larger industrial conglomerates and fluctuating raw material costs. The company’s revenue model relies on volume-driven sales in cyclical industries, requiring operational agility to navigate demand shifts. Its focus on differentiated products and customer-specific solutions provides some insulation against commoditization risks, but macroeconomic volatility remains a persistent challenge.
In FY 2024, Tredegar reported revenue of $597.1 million but recorded a net loss of $64.6 million, reflecting operational headwinds and potential margin compression. Operating cash flow of $25.5 million suggests some liquidity generation, though capital expenditures of $14.3 million indicate restrained reinvestment. The diluted EPS of -$1.88 underscores profitability challenges, likely tied to input cost inflation or segment-specific underperformance.
The company’s negative net income and EPS highlight weakened earnings power in the current cycle. With modest operating cash flow relative to revenue, capital efficiency appears strained, possibly due to fixed-cost absorption or pricing pressures. The absence of dividends aligns with a focus on preserving liquidity, though further scrutiny of segment-level ROIC would clarify capital allocation effectiveness.
Tredegar’s balance sheet shows $7.1 million in cash against $77.4 million of total debt, suggesting limited liquidity buffers. The debt load, while manageable, could constrain flexibility if profitability does not recover. Shareholders’ equity is likely under pressure given the net loss, warranting monitoring of leverage ratios and covenant compliance.
Growth trends are muted, with the net loss signaling contraction rather than expansion. The company has suspended dividends, prioritizing debt management and operational stabilization. Future growth may hinge on segment-specific demand recovery or cost restructuring, but near-term visibility is limited.
The market likely prices Tredegar at a discount due to its cyclical exposure and recent losses. Valuation metrics would require normalization for cyclical troughs, but investor sentiment remains cautious absent a clear turnaround catalyst. Comparables in aluminum and plastics sectors may offer benchmarks for relative valuation.
Tredegar’s niche expertise in engineered materials provides a foundation for recovery, but execution risks persist. The outlook depends on macroeconomic stabilization, cost discipline, and potential portfolio optimization. Success in high-margin applications or strategic divestitures could improve prospects, though near-term challenges dominate.
Company filings (10-K), Tredegar Corporation investor relations
show cash flow forecast
Fiscal year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | |
INCOME STATEMENT | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue growth rate, % | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue, $ | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Variable operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
EBITDA, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense (income), $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earnings before tax, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax expense, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
BALANCE SHEET | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and short-term investments, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average production assets, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Working capital, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total debt, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total liabilities, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total equity, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Debt-to-equity ratio | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted equity ratio | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
CASH FLOW | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Funds from operations, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in working capital, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash from operations, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maintenance CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
New CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Free cash flow, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Retained Cash Flow, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash available for distribution, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discount rate, % | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
PV of cash for distribution, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current shareholders' claim on cash, % | NaN |