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Intrinsic ValueT-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS)

Previous Close$241.72
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$241.72

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

T-Mobile US, Inc. operates as a leading wireless telecommunications provider in the U.S., leveraging its nationwide 5G network to deliver mobile voice, data, and internet services. The company primarily generates revenue through postpaid and prepaid wireless plans, device sales, and wholesale services, with a strong focus on customer acquisition and retention. Its 'Un-carrier' strategy disrupts traditional industry norms by eliminating long-term contracts and offering transparent pricing, which has fueled market share gains. T-Mobile holds a competitive position as the second-largest U.S. wireless carrier, benefiting from scale advantages post its merger with Sprint. The company targets both consumer and business segments, emphasizing network quality, affordability, and customer experience. Its spectrum portfolio and infrastructure investments position it well for sustained growth in the evolving 5G ecosystem, while its aggressive marketing and pricing strategies continue to pressure rivals. The telecom sector remains highly competitive, but T-Mobile’s differentiated approach and network investments provide a durable edge.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

T-Mobile reported FY 2024 revenue of $81.4 billion, driven by robust subscriber growth and higher average revenue per user (ARPU). Net income stood at $11.3 billion, reflecting disciplined cost management and operational leverage. The company generated $22.3 billion in operating cash flow, underscoring strong cash conversion, while capital expenditures of $8.8 billion highlight continued network investments. Diluted EPS of $9.66 demonstrates improved profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

T-Mobile’s earnings power is supported by its scalable network and efficient customer acquisition strategies. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to fund growth while maintaining healthy cash flows. Postpaid churn remains low, indicating sticky revenue streams. High-margin service revenue and cost synergies from the Sprint integration further bolster earnings stability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

T-Mobile’s balance sheet shows $5.4 billion in cash and equivalents against $113.9 billion in total debt, reflecting leverage from network expansion. The company’s strong cash flow generation supports debt servicing, but its high debt load warrants monitoring. Liquidity remains adequate, with manageable near-term maturities. Financial health is stable, though leverage ratios are elevated compared to peers.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

T-Mobile has consistently grown its subscriber base, with postpaid net additions driving top-line expansion. The company initiated a dividend of $2.82 per share, signaling confidence in sustained cash flow. Future growth hinges on 5G adoption, enterprise solutions, and broadband expansion. Share buybacks and dividends are likely to increase as leverage declines.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values T-Mobile for its growth trajectory and competitive positioning. Current multiples reflect expectations of sustained subscriber gains and margin expansion. Investors anticipate further market share consolidation and monetization of 5G investments. Valuation remains attractive relative to peers, given its growth premium and execution track record.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

T-Mobile’s strategic advantages include its superior 5G network, disruptive pricing, and strong brand loyalty. The outlook remains positive, with opportunities in fixed wireless access and IoT. Risks include regulatory scrutiny and competitive pressures, but the company’s scale and innovation should sustain long-term outperformance.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor presentations, Bloomberg

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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