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Intrinsic ValueWinnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO)

Previous Close$33.87
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$33.87

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Winnebago Industries, Inc. is a leading manufacturer of recreational vehicles (RVs) and marine products, operating in the leisure and outdoor lifestyle sector. The company designs, produces, and distributes motorhomes, towable RVs, and boats under well-known brands such as Winnebago, Grand Design, Chris-Craft, and Barletta. Its revenue model is driven by direct sales to dealers and distributors, with a focus on premium, innovative designs that cater to outdoor enthusiasts. Winnebago holds a strong market position in North America, leveraging its brand equity and diversified product portfolio to compete in a cyclical industry. The company’s strategic acquisitions, like Grand Design and Barletta, have expanded its market share and product offerings, reinforcing its leadership in the RV segment while establishing a growing presence in the marine sector. Winnebago’s ability to adapt to consumer trends, such as the demand for lightweight and eco-friendly RVs, further strengthens its competitive edge.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Winnebago reported revenue of $2.97 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $13 million, reflecting a challenging operating environment. Diluted EPS stood at $0.44, while operating cash flow was robust at $143.9 million, indicating effective working capital management. Capital expenditures totaled $45 million, suggesting disciplined investment in production capacity and innovation. The company’s profitability metrics were impacted by macroeconomic pressures, including higher input costs and softer demand.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Despite lower net income, Winnebago demonstrated solid cash generation, with operating cash flow significantly exceeding net income. This highlights the company’s ability to convert earnings into cash, supporting liquidity and reinvestment. The capital expenditure ratio relative to revenue indicates a balanced approach to growth spending, prioritizing efficiency and scalability in its manufacturing operations.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Winnebago maintains a strong liquidity position, with $330.9 million in cash and equivalents. Total debt stood at $741.8 million, reflecting leverage used for strategic acquisitions. The balance sheet remains manageable, with adequate coverage ratios and flexibility to navigate cyclical downturns. The company’s financial health is supported by consistent cash flow generation and prudent debt management.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Winnebago’s growth has been driven by acquisitions and product diversification, though recent revenue trends reflect industry-wide softness. The company pays a dividend of $1.36 per share, signaling confidence in long-term cash flow stability. Future growth may hinge on recovery in consumer discretionary spending and expansion in the marine segment, where Winnebago is building scale.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market appears to price Winnebago cautiously, reflecting cyclical risks and near-term profitability pressures. Valuation metrics likely account for the company’s strong brand equity and potential for margin recovery as cost pressures ease. Investor sentiment may improve with signs of demand stabilization in the RV and marine markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Winnebago’s strategic advantages include its diversified brand portfolio, operational scale, and innovation in product design. The company is well-positioned to benefit from long-term trends in outdoor recreation, though near-term challenges persist. Management’s focus on cost control and strategic acquisitions should support resilience, with upside potential as market conditions normalize.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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