| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial intelligence (AI) | 21.00 | -49 |
| Intrinsic value (DCF) | 16.33 | -60 |
| Graham-Dodd Method | 1.60 | -96 |
| Graham Formula | 9.80 | -76 |
AltaGas Ltd. (ALA.TO) is a leading North American energy infrastructure company with a diversified portfolio spanning regulated utilities and midstream operations. Headquartered in Calgary, Canada, AltaGas serves approximately 1.7 million customers through its Utilities segment, which includes rate-regulated natural gas distribution and storage services across six U.S. states and the District of Columbia. The Midstream segment focuses on natural gas gathering, processing, and liquids handling, with significant capacity in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. Additionally, AltaGas operates gas-fired power generation assets in California and Colorado, contributing to its stable cash flows. The company’s strategic focus on energy transition and export logistics, particularly in LPG exports, positions it as a key player in North America’s energy infrastructure landscape. With a market capitalization of over CAD 11.3 billion, AltaGas combines utility-like stability with growth opportunities in midstream energy services.
AltaGas Ltd. presents a compelling investment case due to its balanced mix of regulated utility earnings and growth-oriented midstream operations. The Utilities segment provides stable, predictable cash flows, supported by a rate-regulated customer base, while the Midstream segment offers exposure to energy export markets, particularly LPG. The company’s diversified asset base and focus on energy infrastructure resilience mitigate sector-specific risks. However, investors should note AltaGas’s high debt levels (CAD 10.6 billion) and exposure to commodity price volatility in its Midstream segment. The dividend yield, supported by a payout ratio of ~62%, is attractive but requires monitoring given capital expenditure demands. AltaGas’s low beta (0.55) suggests relative stability compared to broader energy markets, making it a potential defensive play within the utilities sector.
AltaGas Ltd. differentiates itself through a dual focus on regulated utilities and midstream energy infrastructure, a rare combination in North America. Its Utilities segment benefits from geographic diversification in the U.S. Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, reducing regulatory risk. The Midstream segment’s strategic assets, including 1.2 Bcf/d of processing capacity and LPG export capabilities, provide a competitive edge in energy logistics. AltaGas’s ownership of critical export terminals (e.g., RIPET) enhances its positioning in global LPG markets, particularly for Asian demand. However, the company faces stiff competition from larger midstream players with greater scale, such as Enbridge and TC Energy, which dominate cross-border pipelines. AltaGas’s smaller size limits its ability to compete on large-scale projects but allows agility in niche markets like regional gas processing and renewables integration. The company’s focus on ESG-aligned investments, including renewable natural gas (RNG) initiatives, aligns with long-term industry trends but requires sustained capital deployment.