US · GPRE
Green Plains Inc.
- Sector
- Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty
- Headquarters
- Omaha, NE 68106
- Website
- gpreinc.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$17.76
Market cap 958.89M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $79.93 | +350.06% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $5.58 | -68.58% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $2.37 | -86.67% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $11.17 | -37.09% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $9.38 | $43.91 | $234,497.57 | $18.61 | $78.23 |
| 2012 | $9.73 | $24.28 | $1,902.17 | $16.79 | $2.34 |
| 2013 | $24.63 | $430.52 | $5.79 | $22.70 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $25.21 | $41.94 | $12.19 | $38.95 | $62.34 |
| 2015 | $14.05 | $14.08 | $1.17 | $13.05 | $0.02 |
| 2016 | $21.61 | $18.98 | $3.58 | $4.51 | $6.25 |
| 2017 | $18.38 | $45.69 | $0.28 | $10.61 | $18.17 |
| 2018 | $15.11 | $11.73 | $275.32 | $9.24 | $6.01 |
| 2019 | $10.15 | $15.30 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $121.03 |
| 2020 | $27.70 | $416.61 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $35.75 |
| 2021 | $30.84 | $21.41 | $50.96 | $10.33 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $31.66 | $48.56 | $2,435.30 | $4.41 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $20.67 | $8.92 | $778.85 | $0.12 | $2.28 |
| 2024 | $5.74 | $19.10 | $0.00 | $5.59 | $20.90 |
| 2025 | $13.94 | $79.93 | $0.00 | $2.37 | $11.17 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Green Plains Inc.'s (GPRE) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $79.93
- Current price
- $17.76
- AI upside
- +350.06%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$5.58
-68.58% upside
Graham-Dodd
$2.37
-86.67% upside
Graham Formula
$11.17
-37.09% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| GPRE | Green Plains Inc. | $17.76 | 958.89M | +350% | -69% | -87% | -37% | -7.76 | 1.23 | 0.45 | 40.50 | -19.62 | 1.23 | 1.84% | -4.03% | -5.80% | -14.87% | -4.85% | -7.22% | 0.66 | -1.10 | 1.79 | 0.96 | 10.42 | 3953.00% | -1493.00% | -15154.00% | 6.85% | 0.38 | 5.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.16% | -15.04 | 19.66 | 0.61 | 1.62 |
| CMP | Compass Minerals Internat… | $25.20 | 1.05B | +95% | +18% | — | — | -10.63 | 3.62 | 0.68 | 13.87 | — | 4.14 | 15.33% | 2.03% | -6.42% | -28.98% | 2.25% | -5.05% | 3.62 | 0.37 | 2.15 | 0.90 | 6.68 | -6172.00% | 1132.00% | -22826.00% | 15.09% | 0.74 | 11.37% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.82% | 64.67 | 12.78 | 1.32 | 1.44 |
| CPAC | Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. | $10.61 | 909.42M | -4% | -57% | — | -59% | 22.53 | 2.75 | 1.64 | 8.59 | — | 2.91 | 37.02% | 19.60% | 7.28% | 12.07% | 8.63% | 4.58% | 1.20 | 4.46 | 1.09 | 0.26 | 2.54 | -2609.00% | 88.00% | -538.00% | 7.42% | 0.39 | 9.31% | 5.03% | 113.40% | 6.86% | 11.89 | 19.14 | 2.33 | 2.23 |
| GEVO | Gevo, Inc. | $1.82 | 441M | +1,245% | -31% | -78% | — | -3.83 | 0.62 | 17.81 | -3.23 | -17.87 | 0.63 | 29.05% | -536.94% | -464.91% | -15.02% | -25.95% | -12.74% | 0.14 | -23.41 | 8.36 | 7.90 | 2.10 | 2143.00% | -166.00% | 27.00% | -36.01% | -2.36 | -30.99% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.56% | -2.01 | -1.68 | 10.78 | -0.12 |
| KOP | Koppers Holdings Inc. | $37.80 | 741.41M | +8% | -61% | -43% | — | 12.91 | 1.26 | 0.38 | 7.73 | 113.45 | 5.24 | 19.91% | 8.93% | 2.98% | 10.54% | 7.65% | 2.97% | 1.78 | 2.54 | 2.94 | 0.87 | 4.46 | 1138.00% | -1017.00% | 6071.00% | 9.33% | 0.54 | 4.46% | 0.89% | 11.40% | 6.17% | 10.18 | 25.30 | 0.91 | 2.30 |
| KRO | Kronos Worldwide, Inc. | $5.81 | 668.46M | +440% | -48% | -38% | +168% | 10.13 | 1.07 | 0.46 | 5.04 | — | 1.07 | 19.04% | 6.51% | 4.57% | 10.61% | 6.12% | 4.60% | 0.65 | 2.86 | 2.32 | 0.84 | 1.64 | -27442.00% | 1324.00% | -20263.00% | 4.92% | 0.15 | 3.71% | 6.32% | 64.00% | 6.32% | 10.54 | 30.11 | 0.69 | 1.92 |
| LWLG | Lightwave Logic, Inc. | $4.41 | 641.35M | +825% | -89% | — | — | -6.28 | 4.23 | 1479.58 | -5.64 | -112.99 | 4.41 | 92.27% | -24150.56% | -23570.99% | -64.52% | -280.96% | -56.63% | 0.08 | — | 15.75 | 15.52 | 1.21 | 556.00% | 13605.00% | 1523.00% | -12.90% | -8.71 | -222.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.05 | -6.39 | 1219.12 | 12.61 |
| ODC | Oil-Dri Corporation of Am… | $67.84 | 943.79M | -14% | -61% | -57% | +10% | 15.37 | 3.20 | 1.71 | 9.20 | 42.06 | 3.81 | 29.47% | 14.05% | 10.59% | 22.99% | 21.37% | 14.47% | 0.21 | 28.03 | 2.56 | 1.73 | 0.05 | 3653.00% | 1097.00% | 6819.00% | 5.74% | 1.16 | 18.29% | 1.01% | 15.50% | 6.30% | 12.23 | 17.52 | 1.72 | 6.89 |
| TROX | Tronox Holdings plc | $7.48 | 1.19B | +120% | -60% | — | — | -2476.10 | 0.83 | 0.40 | 137.88 | -278.21 | 0.97 | 9.28% | -0.72% | -16.22% | -0.03% | -0.45% | -0.01% | 2.53 | -0.11 | 2.46 | 0.55 | 102.39 | 89000.00% | -573.00% | -9960.00% | -0.02% | 0.00 | -0.01% | 4.10% | -10148.00% | 4.10% | -216.68 | -16192.87 | 1.57 | 0.87 |
| WLKP | Westlake Chemical Partner… | $22.02 | 776.11M | +265% | -14% | +157% | +316% | 2.62 | 1.56 | 0.67 | 2.53 | 0.69 | 1.56 | 29.81% | 27.39% | 25.59% | 58.56% | 37.17% | 23.47% | 0.80 | 13.96 | 2.80 | 2.10 | 0.79 | 37853.00% | 271.00% | -5375.00% | 25.79% | 5.47 | 23.49% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.56 | 5.64 | 0.97 | 2.89 |
About Green Plains Inc.
Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services, and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment produces and sells ethanol, including industrial-grade alcohol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and corn oil. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment engages in the grain procurement, handling, and storage activities; and commodity marketing business, which purchases, markets, sells, and distributes ethanol, distiller grains, and ultra-high protein and corn oil, as well as grain, natural gas, and other commodities in various markets. This segment also provides grain drying and storage services to grain producers. The Partnership segment offers fuel storage and transportation services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through 29 ethanol storage facilities; 4 fuel terminal facilities; and a fleet of approximately 2,300 leased railcars. The company was formerly known as Green Plains Renewable Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Green Plains Inc. in May 2014. Green Plains Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
- CEO
- Chris G. Osowski
- Employees
- 923
- Beta
- 1.51
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($5.58 ÷ $17.76) − 1 = -68.58% (DCF, example).