US · GVA
Granite Construction Incorporated
- Sector
- Industrials · Engineering & Construction
- Headquarters
- Watsonville, CA 95076
- Website
- graniteconstruction.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$139.42
Market cap 5.87B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $64.20 | -53.95% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $308.84 | +121.52% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $32.13 | -76.95% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $79.94 | -42.66% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $23.76 | $32.90 | $3.49 | $19.50 | $28.89 |
| 2012 | $26.60 | $28.14 | $8.95 | $18.19 | $13.63 |
| 2013 | $33.01 | $36.57 | $5.90 | $6.27 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $27.93 | $40.13 | $9.43 | $14.39 | $5.52 |
| 2015 | $37.81 | $27.62 | $11.74 | $19.86 | $18.68 |
| 2016 | $45.94 | $35.34 | $1.79 | $20.46 | $20.03 |
| 2017 | $55.49 | $36.88 | $254.56 | $18.89 | $22.39 |
| 2018 | $42.44 | $34.99 | $343.78 | $17.42 | $0.25 |
| 2019 | $16.08 | $23.76 | $0.00 | $4.54 | $4.58 |
| 2020 | $38.29 | $16.63 | $6.43 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $30.47 | $41.67 | $4.42 | $13.27 | $1.41 |
| 2022 | $39.90 | $97.97 | $4.96 | $21.28 | $4.84 |
| 2023 | $52.66 | $27.89 | $8.30 | $15.91 | $13.97 |
| 2024 | $73.66 | $41.67 | $16.77 | $24.87 | $62.57 |
| 2025 | $133.84 | $64.20 | $27.22 | $32.13 | $79.94 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Granite Construction Incorporated's (GVA) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $64.20
- Current price
- $139.42
- AI upside
- -53.95%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$308.84
+121.52% upside
Graham-Dodd
$32.13
-76.95% upside
Graham Formula
$79.94
-42.66% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| GVA | Granite Construction Inco… | $139.42 | 5.87B | -54% | +122% | -77% | -43% | 30.27 | 4.95 | 1.32 | 16.17 | 78.52 | 9.76 | 16.07% | 6.38% | 4.36% | 17.59% | 12.97% | 5.47% | 1.38 | 5.98 | 1.22 | 0.99 | 2.58 | 3855.00% | 1040.00% | 335.00% | 5.66% | 0.32 | 19.90% | 0.39% | 11.80% | 1.21% | 24.31 | 20.76 | 1.55 | 2.94 |
| AGX | Argan, Inc. | $451.25 | 6.26B | -73% | -51% | -92% | -18% | 23.13 | 5.62 | 2.26 | 15.50 | 14.70 | 6.14 | 16.13% | 10.09% | 9.78% | 26.59% | -46.85% | 11.92% | 0.01 | — | 1.63 | 1.59 | -1.52 | 15732.00% | 5247.00% | 4110.00% | 8.14% | 0.35 | -111.30% | 0.92% | 21.40% | 1.00% | 16.49 | 9.03 | 1.66 | 4.77 |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group, Inc. | $51.60 | 5.92B | -11% | -38% | -68% | -52% | 58.66 | 1.42 | 0.41 | 8.22 | — | 10.11 | 59.66% | 2.13% | 0.70% | 2.36% | 2.42% | 0.50% | 1.67 | 1.25 | 0.50 | 0.41 | 4.84 | -7175.00% | 2134.00% | -28525.00% | -5.78% | 0.19 | -3.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 35.10 | -31.37 | 0.75 | 1.12 |
| BCO | The Brink's Company | $116.77 | 4.85B | -34% | -57% | — | -45% | 25.09 | 12.95 | 1.00 | 12.27 | 66.96 | -3.53 | 25.81% | 11.13% | 4.00% | 70.99% | 11.45% | 3.01% | 10.71 | 2.38 | 1.51 | 1.13 | 4.09 | 3747.00% | 497.00% | 11445.00% | 8.28% | 0.29 | 14.34% | 0.80% | 20.10% | 8.99% | 13.51 | 18.12 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| CSW | CSW Industrials, Inc. | $294.33 | 4.91B | -21% | -22% | -73% | -47% | 35.97 | 4.61 | 5.63 | 21.44 | 126.09 | 10.98 | 44.78% | 20.64% | 15.56% | 16.29% | 15.88% | 11.35% | 0.06 | 673.78 | 4.03 | 2.61 | -0.70 | 2853.00% | 1078.00% | 294.00% | 3.08% | 1.14 | 17.45% | 0.29% | 10.60% | 8.29% | 26.42 | 31.49 | 5.45 | 12.53 |
| ECG | Everus Construction Group… | $120.87 | 6.17B | -29% | +1,098% | -76% | +25% | 30.18 | 9.67 | 1.63 | 18.58 | 74.40 | 12.52 | 12.12% | 7.07% | 5.39% | 38.34% | 30.82% | 13.37% | 0.17 | 12.34 | 1.76 | 1.28 | -0.20 | 4057.00% | 3147.00% | -2180.00% | 1.48% | 0.21 | 14.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.62% | 22.76 | 66.94 | 1.61 | 6.78 |
| ENS | EnerSys | $166.15 | 6.13B | -39% | -79% | -63% | -50% | 9.44 | 1.79 | 0.95 | 7.68 | 24.63 | 4.19 | 30.20% | 12.85% | 10.05% | 19.82% | 16.27% | 9.78% | 0.63 | 9.09 | 2.70 | 1.32 | 1.54 | 3831.00% | 100.00% | -6242.00% | 4.06% | 0.34 | 5.45% | 1.09% | 10.30% | 5.58% | 9.24 | 30.82 | 1.19 | 3.58 |
| KBR | KBR, Inc. | $42.23 | 5.36B | -7% | -55% | — | -34% | 13.30 | 3.57 | 0.69 | 8.17 | 90.83 | -2.82 | 14.77% | 7.30% | 5.33% | 27.27% | 10.71% | 6.08% | 1.88 | 3.59 | 1.22 | 0.94 | 2.48 | 1464.00% | 57.00% | 3377.00% | 9.61% | 0.33 | 13.02% | 1.57% | 20.80% | 13.15% | 13.54 | 14.94 | 0.99 | 2.53 |
| LSTR | Landstar System, Inc. | $162.95 | 5.55B | -50% | -60% | — | -87% | 49.40 | 7.14 | 1.20 | 27.09 | — | 7.46 | 13.10% | 3.58% | 2.42% | 13.01% | 24.83% | 6.67% | 0.17 | 170.74 | 1.75 | 1.69 | -1.33 | -3993.00% | -187.00% | -1587.00% | 3.78% | 0.32 | 41.11% | 2.20% | 108.50% | 5.36% | 31.54 | 24.94 | 1.13 | 10.12 |
| MYRG | MYR Group Inc. | $269.96 | 4.19B | -53% | +38% | -73% | -54% | 36.19 | 6.49 | 1.17 | 19.45 | 11.62 | 9.07 | 11.59% | 4.56% | 3.24% | 18.78% | 18.39% | 7.36% | 0.16 | 29.45 | 1.33 | 0.96 | -0.21 | 31148.00% | 879.00% | 197744.00% | 5.42% | 0.41 | 34.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.62% | 25.43 | 18.25 | 1.16 | 5.80 |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | $523.60 | 6.36B | -63% | +28% | -79% | -52% | 22.82 | 6.44 | 3.74 | 15.16 | 109.13 | 6.56 | 29.37% | 19.73% | 16.37% | 32.17% | 115.17% | 17.74% | 0.00 | — | 2.09 | 1.86 | -1.86 | 2091.00% | 908.00% | 6011.00% | 3.75% | 0.38 | 105.73% | 0.31% | 7.10% | 3.88% | 16.76 | 23.59 | 3.31 | 8.25 |
About Granite Construction Incorporated
Granite Construction Incorporated operates as an infrastructure contractor and a construction materials producer in the United States. It operates through two segments, Construction and Materials segments. The Construction segment engages in the construction and rehabilitation of roads, pavement preservation, bridges, rail lines, airports, marine ports, dams, reservoirs, aqueducts, infrastructure, and site development for use by the public. It also focuses on water-related construction for municipal agencies, commercial water suppliers, industrial facilities, and energy companies. The company also constructs various complex projects, including infrastructure/site development, mining, public safety, tunnel, solar, and power projects. The Materials segment is involved in the production of aggregates and asphalt for internal use, as well as for sale to third parties. In addition, it offers site preparation, mining, and infrastructure services for residential development, energy development, commercial and industrial sites, and other facilities; and provides construction management professional services. The company serves federal agencies, state departments of transportation, local transit authorities, county and city public works departments, school districts and developers, utilities, contractors, landscapers, manufacturers of products requiring aggregate materials, retailers, homeowners, farmers, brokers, and private owners of industrial, commercial, and residential sites. Granite Construction Incorporated was founded in 1922 and is headquartered in Watsonville, California.
- CEO
- Kyle T. Larkin
- Employees
- 2.3K
- Beta
- 1.33
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($308.84 ÷ $139.42) − 1 = +121.52% (DCF, example).