US · HFWA
Heritage Financial Corporation
- Sector
- Financial Services · Banks - Regional
- Headquarters
- Olympia, WA 98501
- Website
- hf-wa.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$27.61
Market cap 896.8M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $40.31 | +46% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $24.71 | -10.5% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $15.56 | -43.63% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $27.58 | -0.1% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $8.14 | $43.68 | $12.95 | $8.65 | $9.74 |
| 2012 | $9.15 | $23.75 | $15.73 | $4.64 | $3.45 |
| 2013 | $12.05 | $36.83 | $16.37 | $8.67 | $8.34 |
| 2014 | $11.20 | $43.60 | $85.56 | $9.72 | $62.52 |
| 2015 | $12.63 | $39.44 | $439.27 | $10.06 | $36.95 |
| 2016 | $17.53 | $38.15 | $126.55 | $7.88 | $12.17 |
| 2017 | $23.36 | $42.40 | $24.42 | $10.88 | $21.90 |
| 2018 | $23.55 | $49.09 | $28.98 | $11.31 | $49.75 |
| 2019 | $17.76 | $45.84 | $28.31 | $12.04 | $29.71 |
| 2020 | $25.17 | $36.28 | $31.06 | $10.54 | $11.01 |
| 2021 | $21.43 | $29.87 | $49.21 | $18.77 | $18.14 |
| 2022 | $20.82 | $32.59 | $45.40 | $14.93 | $27.44 |
| 2023 | $17.65 | $41.76 | $23.81 | $12.93 | $44.12 |
| 2024 | $22.95 | $38.80 | $23.15 | $10.51 | $15.73 |
| 2025 | $26.47 | $40.31 | $23.52 | $15.56 | $27.58 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Heritage Financial Corporation's (HFWA) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $40.31
- Current price
- $27.61
- AI upside
- +46%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$24.71
-10.5% upside
Graham-Dodd
$15.56
-43.63% upside
Graham Formula
$27.58
-0.1% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| HFWA | Heritage Financial Corpor… | $27.61 | 896.8M | +46% | -11% | -44% | -0% | 13.31 | 0.98 | 2.68 | 3.53 | 22.92 | 1.32 | 72.43% | 23.15% | 20.10% | 7.57% | 19.35% | 0.96% | 0.05 | 0.87 | 1.18 | 1.18 | -0.13 | 5806.00% | 592.00% | -4874.00% | 3.48% | 0.01 | 9.06% | 3.63% | 48.30% | 37.42% | 3.61 | 8.99 | 0.84 | 0.40 |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares… | $27.30 | 808.5M | +103% | -52% | +51% | +112% | 9.31 | 0.91 | 1.60 | -0.26 | 40.48 | 1.08 | 60.92% | 22.15% | 17.16% | 10.36% | 18.38% | 1.09% | 0.61 | 0.59 | 5.62 | 5.62 | 1.18 | 2301.00% | 1184.00% | 5388.00% | 11.25% | 0.07 | 18.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.93% | -0.27 | -0.33 | -0.06 | 1.14 |
| CCNE | CNB Financial Corporation | $28.01 | 825.63M | -26% | -2% | -6% | +82% | 8.66 | 0.77 | 1.31 | -3.02 | — | 0.84 | 59.11% | 18.71% | 15.16% | 9.23% | 183.63% | 0.91% | 0.24 | 0.49 | 0.16 | 0.16 | -3.93 | -627.00% | 1180.00% | 5319.00% | 11.68% | 0.01 | 185.82% | 4.06% | 35.20% | 50.32% | -3.39 | -4.13 | -0.63 | -0.65 |
| CFFN | Capitol Federal Financial… | $7.18 | 943.73M | +263% | -41% | -23% | +29% | 12.53 | 0.81 | 2.04 | 18.55 | 15.80 | 0.82 | 47.30% | 19.89% | 16.30% | 6.54% | 3.39% | 0.70% | 1.86 | 0.38 | 1.27 | 0.17 | 18.72 | 7931.00% | 1003.00% | 10766.00% | 5.85% | 0.01 | 2.48% | 5.19% | 65.10% | 36.60% | 20.28 | 33.78 | 4.03 | 0.33 |
| CPF | Central Pacific Financial… | $31.85 | 853.8M | -9% | +33% | +15% | +30% | 11.12 | 1.45 | 2.38 | 1.51 | 24.33 | 1.47 | 76.12% | 27.79% | 21.38% | 13.70% | -50.52% | 1.04% | 0.22 | 1.37 | 33.66 | 33.66 | 0.39 | 4569.00% | 642.00% | 2922.00% | 11.32% | 3.81 | -62.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.51 | 1.56 | 0.42 | 0.34 |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | $38.93 | 832.17M | +61% | +95% | -9% | +106% | 13.50 | 1.87 | 3.26 | 11.10 | 47.67 | 1.87 | 58.22% | 32.78% | 24.11% | 14.63% | 21.76% | 1.40% | 0.22 | 0.86 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 1.17 | 2832.00% | 2039.00% | 4194.00% | 8.73% | 0.02 | 25.64% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.10 | 12.80 | 3.64 | -0.49 |
| HAFC | Hanmi Financial Corporati… | $26.11 | 782.13M | -21% | -14% | -13% | +13% | 10.34 | 0.99 | 1.77 | -0.24 | 46.09 | 1.00 | 57.46% | 24.27% | 17.11% | 9.96% | -149.34% | 0.98% | 0.35 | 0.62 | 3.58 | 3.58 | 0.63 | 2244.00% | 355.00% | 30138.00% | 26.18% | 0.10 | -404.33% | 4.15% | 42.90% | 7.97% | -0.24 | -0.13 | -0.06 | 1.08 |
| HBT | HBT Financial, Inc. | $26.96 | 847.4M | +167% | -19% | +11% | -2% | 11.23 | 1.40 | 2.95 | 0.84 | 140.99 | 1.60 | 80.03% | 35.63% | 26.25% | 13.28% | 46.33% | 1.52% | 0.11 | 1.84 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.37 | 796.00% | 284.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.88 | — | 0.32 | -0.17 |
| HTBK | Heritage Commerce Corp | $12.43 | 765.19M | +275% | +1% | -68% | -39% | 14.41 | 0.85 | 2.32 | -9.98 | — | 1.13 | 67.71% | 22.54% | 16.12% | 5.95% | -12.80% | 0.75% | 0.06 | 0.72 | 0.25 | 0.25 | -15.42 | -3714.00% | 335.00% | -4765.00% | 6.39% | 0.01 | -11.79% | 5.45% | 78.60% | 101.31% | -10.60 | -16.08 | -2.39 | -0.57 |
| MOFG | MidWestOne Financial Grou… | $49.31 | 1.02B | -65% | -45% | — | +1% | -7.90 | 0.85 | 2.31 | 12.33 | — | 1.05 | 29.37% | -40.77% | -29.26% | -11.12% | 11.26% | -0.95% | 0.21 | -0.61 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 1.16 | -36617.00% | -2313.00% | 387.00% | 12.76% | 0.01 | -11.35% | 3.47% | -27.40% | 34.01% | 11.20 | -15.47 | -4.57 | -0.67 |
| TRST | TrustCo Bank Corp NY | $43.37 | 799.05M | +32% | -16% | +25% | +6% | 13.18 | 1.17 | 2.89 | 7.10 | 49.80 | 1.17 | 67.08% | 29.18% | 21.97% | 8.97% | 12.60% | 0.96% | 0.28 | 0.90 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 1.59 | 2646.00% | 577.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.85 | — | 2.29 | 0.08 |
About Heritage Financial Corporation
Heritage Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Heritage Bank that provides various financial services to small and medium sized businesses and individuals in the United States. The company accepts various deposit products, such as noninterest demand deposits, interest bearing demand deposits, money market accounts, savings accounts, personal checking accounts, and certificates of deposit. Its loan portfolio includes commercial and industrial loans, owner-occupied and non-owner occupied commercial real estate loans, one-to-four family residential loans, real estate construction and land development loans, consumer loans, commercial business loans, lines of credit, term equipment financing, and term real estate loans, as well as commercial business loans to a range of businesses in industries that include real estate and rental and leasing, healthcare, accommodation and food services, retail trade, and construction. The company also originates loans that are guaranteed by the U.S. Small Business Administration; and offers trust services, as well as objective advice. As of January 27, 2022, it had a network of 49 banking offices located in Washington and Oregon. The company was formerly known as Heritage Financial Corporation, M.H.C. and changed its name to Heritage Financial Corporation in 1998. Heritage Financial Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Olympia, Washington.
- CEO
- Bryan D. McDonald
- Employees
- 757
- Beta
- 0.52
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($24.71 ÷ $27.61) − 1 = -10.5% (DCF, example).