US · LOCO
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Costa Mesa, CA 92626
- Website
- elpolloloco.com
Price · as of 2024-12-25
$13.07
Market cap 331.3M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $21.96 | +68.02% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $4.25 | -67.48% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $4.70 | -64.01% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $7.82 | -40.18% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2014 | $23.47 | $58.55 | $0.00 | $5.39 | $22.77 |
| 2015 | $12.03 | $33.84 | $0.62 | $3.06 | $6.97 |
| 2016 | $9.57 | $30.19 | $0.58 | $2.82 | $7.09 |
| 2017 | $8.96 | $28.32 | $0.00 | $1.80 | $3.02 |
| 2018 | $10.81 | $29.79 | $0.43 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $10.14 | $33.42 | $0.00 | $3.30 | $6.42 |
| 2020 | $16.64 | $26.54 | $0.00 | $4.30 | $3.26 |
| 2021 | $9.88 | $23.51 | $0.00 | $5.77 | $11.69 |
| 2022 | $10.81 | $27.47 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $6.51 |
| 2023 | $8.70 | $22.07 | $0.00 | $3.79 | $5.92 |
| 2024 | $10.62 | $21.96 | $0.00 | $4.70 | $7.82 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.'s (LOCO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $21.96
- Current price
- $13.07
- AI upside
- +68.02%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$4.25
-67.48% upside
Graham-Dodd
$4.70
-64.01% upside
Graham Formula
$7.82
-40.18% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| LOCO | El Pollo Loco Holdings, I… | $13.07 | 331.3M | +68% | -67% | -64% | -40% | 12.34 | 1.22 | 0.67 | 10.15 | 76.11 | -6.35 | 21.88% | 8.70% | 5.43% | 10.05% | 5.77% | 4.34% | 1.01 | 6.98 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 4.58 | 1622.00% | 93.00% | 4311.00% | 8.74% | 0.62 | 5.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.22% | 14.03 | 20.85 | 1.22 | 1.53 |
| BNED | Barnes & Noble Education,… | $8.65 | 296.65M | +410% | -48% | — | — | -4.45 | 1.08 | 0.18 | -91.74 | — | 1.51 | 20.98% | 0.99% | -4.09% | -37.34% | 3.09% | -7.74% | 1.04 | 0.91 | 1.67 | 0.38 | -44.32 | -8935.00% | 275.00% | 41223.00% | -33.53% | -0.31 | -19.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 44.13% | 35.63 | -5.77 | 0.35 | 1.46 |
| DENN | Denny's Corporation | $6.25 | 321.87M | +418% | -73% | -98% | -62% | 10.12 | -6.42 | 0.48 | 10.05 | 59.06 | -1.14 | 73.42% | 10.02% | 4.77% | -44.61% | 9.58% | 4.49% | -12.00 | 1.94 | 0.42 | 0.28 | 6.55 | 1714.00% | -250.00% | -9852.00% | 0.42% | 0.31 | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.37% | 13.77 | 679.51 | 1.38 | 1.32 |
| DIN | Dine Brands Global, Inc. | $30.96 | 446.56M | +325% | -61% | — | -38% | 25.32 | -1.58 | 0.49 | 30.23 | — | -0.41 | 39.90% | 16.33% | 1.94% | -6.98% | 7.15% | 0.97% | -6.96 | 28.72 | 0.96 | 0.68 | 24.31 | -7346.00% | 825.00% | -4325.00% | 12.33% | 0.24 | 3.92% | 7.16% | 181.30% | 21.18% | 15.39 | 41.39 | 2.51 | 1.04 |
| HVT | Haverty Furniture Compani… | $23.81 | 387.31M | -29% | -47% | -75% | -32% | 18.49 | 1.18 | 0.48 | 8.87 | — | 1.18 | 60.67% | 2.79% | 2.60% | 6.41% | 3.90% | 3.04% | 0.70 | — | 1.87 | 0.99 | 1.67 | 0.00% | 499.00% | 2295.00% | 9.04% | 0.39 | 8.26% | 5.71% | 105.60% | 10.81% | 21.22 | 13.63 | 0.59 | 2.13 |
| JACK | Jack in the Box Inc. | $16.92 | 323.23M | +405% | -55% | — | — | -4.45 | -0.38 | 0.25 | 94.78 | -3.49 | -0.30 | 28.66% | -1.23% | -5.51% | 9.02% | -0.64% | -3.03% | -3.33 | -0.22 | 0.51 | 0.33 | 84.86 | 12757.00% | -675.00% | -25889.00% | 20.64% | 0.38 | 3.34% | 4.63% | -20.60% | 30.44% | -189.84 | 46.27 | 2.34 | 1.46 |
| MPX | Marine Products Corporati… | $7.59 | 265.64M | +289% | +48% | — | -51% | 23.25 | 2.12 | 1.08 | 11.70 | — | 2.18 | 19.14% | 5.74% | 4.66% | 8.96% | 12.80% | 7.15% | 0.00 | — | 5.37 | 2.55 | -2.30 | -3400.00% | 332.00% | -4014.00% | 5.64% | 0.80 | 18.85% | 7.40% | 172.10% | 7.80% | 15.77 | 14.82 | 0.90 | 10.99 |
| PTLO | Portillo's Inc. | $5.34 | 384.12M | +330% | -61% | -54% | -42% | 17.07 | 0.77 | 0.49 | 17.62 | — | 7.18 | 68.26% | 8.01% | 2.64% | 4.86% | 4.24% | 1.36% | 2.14 | 2.57 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 12.89 | -4130.00% | 303.00% | -28808.00% | -5.15% | 0.37 | -1.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.85 | -72.31 | 1.83 | 0.72 |
| RICK | RCI Hospitality Holdings,… | $22.13 | 192.98M | +102% | -4% | -11% | -87% | 155.78 | 1.79 | 1.59 | 20.47 | — | 12.38 | 57.66% | 6.36% | 1.02% | 1.11% | 3.61% | 0.50% | 1.03 | 1.13 | 0.98 | 0.79 | 6.92 | -8946.00% | 62.00% | 6688.00% | 6.65% | 1.16 | 6.01% | 0.49% | 76.30% | 8.48% | 37.76 | 22.70 | 2.40 | 1.97 |
| STRT | Strattec Security Corpora… | $88.00 | 368.3M | -14% | -70% | -11% | -32% | 14.28 | 1.20 | 0.47 | 4.79 | 113.93 | 1.20 | 14.97% | 4.03% | 3.31% | 8.85% | 10.17% | 4.94% | 0.05 | 22.63 | 2.43 | 1.75 | -1.81 | 1253.00% | 508.00% | 250480.00% | 24.19% | 0.60 | 37.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 25.65% | 8.49 | 3.00 | 0.34 | 4.23 |
| WEYS | Weyco Group, Inc. | $31.27 | 298.58M | +270% | -63% | — | — | 8.98 | 1.11 | 0.94 | 4.97 | — | 1.36 | 45.31% | 12.61% | 10.44% | 12.37% | 14.93% | 9.57% | 0.05 | 2440.93 | 4.43 | 2.34 | -1.41 | -32.00% | -873.00% | -6187.00% | 13.35% | 0.80 | 19.47% | 11.48% | 103.10% | 13.20% | 5.78 | 5.82 | 0.73 | 4.73 |
About El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. As of May 04, 2022, the company operated 480 restaurants comprising 189 company-operated and 291 franchised restaurants located in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Utah, and Louisiana. It also licenses one restaurant in the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Chicken Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. in April 2014. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California.
- CEO
- Elizabeth Goodwin Williams
- Employees
- 4K
- Beta
- 0.92
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($4.25 ÷ $13.07) − 1 = -67.48% (DCF, example).