US · MRCY
Mercury Systems, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Headquarters
- Andover, MA 01810
- Website
- mrcy.com
Price · as of 2025-06-27
$78.55
Market cap 5.34B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $51.52 | -34.41% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $27.57 | -64.9% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $5.89 | -92.51% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $12.97 | $47.90 | $5.03 | $12.40 | $15.95 |
| 2012 | $9.86 | $39.41 | $3.04 | $10.64 | $11.38 |
| 2013 | $8.76 | $58.39 | $0.00 | $2.87 | $2.66 |
| 2014 | $11.02 | $437.38 | $0.00 | $3.29 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $15.64 | $43.90 | $0.00 | $7.28 | $6.52 |
| 2016 | $22.45 | $38.13 | $1.51 | $6.65 | $12.96 |
| 2017 | $47.62 | $57.57 | $47.26 | $11.17 | $33.83 |
| 2018 | $54.31 | $52.66 | $65.66 | $10.25 | $24.52 |
| 2019 | $85.54 | $72.59 | $99.83 | $20.00 | $38.63 |
| 2020 | $70.98 | $62.66 | $64.12 | $21.99 | $45.24 |
| 2021 | $46.82 | $52.94 | $31.73 | $17.97 | $26.40 |
| 2022 | $47.38 | $42.30 | $0.00 | $8.09 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $36.31 | $91.46 | $0.00 | $8.61 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $36.40 | $33.83 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $13.00 |
| 2025 | $68.93 | $51.52 | $0.00 | $5.89 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Mercury Systems, Inc.'s (MRCY) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $51.52
- Current price
- $78.55
- AI upside
- -34.41%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$27.57
-64.9% upside
Graham-Dodd
$5.89
-92.51% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MRCY | Mercury Systems, Inc. | $78.55 | 5.34B | -34% | -65% | -93% | — | -106.83 | 2.75 | 4.44 | 67.42 | — | 12.47 | 27.90% | -2.15% | -4.16% | -2.57% | -0.79% | -1.57% | 0.44 | -0.59 | 3.52 | 2.32 | 5.15 | -7269.00% | 919.00% | 0.00% | 2.94% | 0.46 | 6.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.42% | -223.39 | 36.83 | 4.81 | 3.35 |
| AMTM | Amentum Holdings, Inc. | $29.87 | 7.28B | +16% | +16,223% | — | -30% | 122.41 | 1.60 | 0.50 | 11.10 | — | -2.29 | 10.51% | 3.33% | 0.46% | 1.32% | 2.87% | 0.50% | 0.92 | 1.36 | 1.32 | 1.24 | 3.78 | -13000.00% | 7159.00% | 133333.00% | 7.14% | 0.23 | 6.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.48% | 22.82 | 21.22 | 0.76 | 2.05 |
| BCO | The Brink's Company | $116.77 | 4.85B | -34% | -57% | — | -45% | 25.09 | 12.95 | 1.00 | 12.27 | 66.96 | -3.53 | 25.81% | 11.13% | 4.00% | 70.99% | 11.45% | 3.01% | 10.71 | 2.38 | 1.51 | 1.13 | 4.09 | 3747.00% | 497.00% | 11445.00% | 8.28% | 0.29 | 14.34% | 0.80% | 20.10% | 8.99% | 13.51 | 18.12 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| CAR | Avis Budget Group, Inc. | $97.41 | 3.43B | +736% | -60% | — | — | -3.79 | -1.08 | 0.29 | 7.77 | — | -0.70 | 24.42% | 10.99% | -7.63% | 32.59% | 5.05% | -2.86% | -9.96 | 0.96 | 0.72 | 0.57 | 7.00 | -5071.00% | -116.00% | 8304.00% | -355.54% | 1.14 | -47.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.21% | 26.56 | -2.84 | 2.92 | 0.57 |
| ECG | Everus Construction Group… | $120.87 | 6.17B | -29% | +1,098% | -76% | +25% | 30.18 | 9.67 | 1.63 | 18.58 | 74.40 | 12.52 | 12.12% | 7.07% | 5.39% | 38.34% | 30.82% | 13.37% | 0.17 | 12.34 | 1.76 | 1.28 | -0.20 | 4057.00% | 3147.00% | -2180.00% | 1.48% | 0.21 | 14.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.62% | 22.76 | 66.94 | 1.61 | 6.78 |
| ENS | EnerSys | $166.15 | 6.13B | -39% | -79% | -63% | -50% | 9.44 | 1.79 | 0.95 | 7.68 | 24.63 | 4.19 | 30.20% | 12.85% | 10.05% | 19.82% | 16.27% | 9.78% | 0.63 | 9.09 | 2.70 | 1.32 | 1.54 | 3831.00% | 100.00% | -6242.00% | 4.06% | 0.34 | 5.45% | 1.09% | 10.30% | 5.58% | 9.24 | 30.82 | 1.19 | 3.58 |
| HRI | Herc Holdings Inc. | $139.79 | 4.66B | -5% | +113% | — | -99% | 4410.48 | 2.26 | 1.01 | 8.87 | — | -1.70 | 28.20% | 15.31% | 0.02% | 0.06% | 6.89% | 0.01% | 5.73 | 1.61 | 1.31 | 1.12 | 6.35 | -9957.00% | 2265.00% | -94375.00% | -3.06% | 1.53 | -1.39% | 1.97% | 8700.00% | 2.15% | 23.16 | -114.97 | 3.55 | 0.78 |
| PL | Planet Labs PBC | $24.14 | 7.67B | +10% | -89% | — | — | -7.52 | 2.10 | 3.79 | -12.60 | — | 3.34 | 57.18% | -47.52% | -50.42% | -25.68% | -48.56% | -18.45% | 0.05 | — | 2.13 | 2.00 | 1.81 | -1600.00% | 1072.00% | -3699.00% | -6.34% | -0.10 | -24.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.76% | -6.19 | -12.25 | 2.94 | 0.31 |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | $523.60 | 6.36B | -63% | +28% | -79% | -52% | 22.82 | 6.44 | 3.74 | 15.16 | 109.13 | 6.56 | 29.37% | 19.73% | 16.37% | 32.17% | 115.17% | 17.74% | 0.00 | — | 2.09 | 1.86 | -1.86 | 2091.00% | 908.00% | 6011.00% | 3.75% | 0.38 | 105.73% | 0.31% | 7.10% | 3.88% | 16.76 | 23.59 | 3.31 | 8.25 |
| RAL | Ralliant Corp. | $45.89 | 5.18B | -19% | -55% | — | — | -4.31 | 3.23 | 2.55 | -5.71 | — | -6.33 | 50.29% | 12.45% | -58.50% | -45.30% | 8.14% | -28.63% | 0.70 | 7.98 | 0.84 | 0.52 | -0.78 | -50224.00% | -399.00% | -1471.00% | 6.80% | 0.34 | 11.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23.68 | 17.02 | 2.95 | 2.15 |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdin… | $39.50 | 4.64B | -66% | -66% | — | — | -1.82 | -1.48 | 0.62 | -5.89 | -0.84 | -1.14 | -21.73% | -28.28% | -33.88% | 137.06% | -70.33% | -31.20% | -2.05 | -5.05 | 1.05 | 0.48 | -3.26 | 21592.00% | 444.00% | 24066.00% | -32.76% | -0.31 | -50.20% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.89 | -6.85 | 1.38 | 0.03 |
About Mercury Systems, Inc.
Mercury Systems, Inc., a technology company, manufactures and sells components, products, modules, and subsystems for aerospace and defense industries in the United States, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. Its products and solutions are deployed in approximately 300 programs with 25 defense contractors and commercial aviation customers. The company offers components, including power amplifiers and limiters, switches, oscillators, filters, equalizers, digital and analog converters, chips, monolithic microwave integrated circuits, and memory and storage devices; modules and sub-assemblies, such as embedded processing modules and boards, switched fabric boards, digital receiver boards, multi-chip modules, integrated radio frequency and microwave multi-function assemblies, tuners, and transceivers, as well as graphics and video processing, and Ethernet and input-output boards; and integrated subsystems. It also designs and develops digital radio frequency memory units for various modern electronic warfare applications; radar environment simulation and test systems for defense and intelligence applications; and signals intelligence payloads and EO/IR technologies for small UAV platforms, as well as onboard UAV processor systems for real-time wide area motion imagery. The company was formerly known as Mercury Computer Systems, Inc. and changed its name to Mercury Systems, Inc. in November 2012. Mercury Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.
- CEO
- William L. Ballhaus
- Employees
- 2.36K
- Beta
- 0.77
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($27.57 ÷ $78.55) − 1 = -64.9% (DCF, example).