US · MSM
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Industrial - Distribution
- Headquarters
- Melville, NY 11747
- Website
- mscdirect.com
Price · as of 2025-08-30
$102.63
Market cap 5.24B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $53.01 | -48.35% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $34.51 | -66.37% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $24.27 | -76.35% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $39.11 | $50.62 | $33.59 | $0.33 | $92.82 |
| 2012 | $40.36 | $57.03 | $186.15 | $19.99 | $99.61 |
| 2013 | $44.07 | $67.98 | $66.96 | $12.95 | $46.84 |
| 2014 | $49.47 | $73.10 | $26.26 | $11.45 | $79.73 |
| 2015 | $39.87 | $47.71 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $46.57 |
| 2016 | $53.10 | $60.44 | $0.57 | $0.72 | $25.05 |
| 2017 | $52.83 | $66.21 | $0.57 | $3.81 | $36.38 |
| 2018 | $58.74 | $70.38 | $0.93 | $8.46 | $108.97 |
| 2019 | $52.49 | $71.65 | $0.84 | $1.09 | $67.52 |
| 2020 | $58.30 | $72.75 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $15.15 |
| 2021 | $71.50 | $70.92 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $37.60 |
| 2022 | $74.36 | $69.66 | $0.86 | $0.00 | $129.94 |
| 2023 | $89.34 | $84.49 | $3.82 | $0.00 | $100.40 |
| 2024 | $83.65 | $80.71 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $17.15 |
| 2025 | $86.27 | $53.01 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $24.27 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.'s (MSM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $53.01
- Current price
- $102.63
- AI upside
- -48.35%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$34.51
-66.37% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$24.27
-76.35% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MSM | MSC Industrial Direct Co.… | $102.63 | 5.24B | -48% | -66% | — | -76% | 24.14 | 3.47 | 1.28 | 14.01 | — | 8.31 | 40.75% | 8.32% | 5.29% | 14.34% | 12.39% | 8.10% | 0.39 | 13.04 | 1.68 | 0.66 | 1.28 | -2205.00% | -135.00% | -2262.00% | 5.01% | 0.46 | 12.67% | 3.94% | 95.10% | 5.92% | 16.88 | 21.98 | 1.40 | 5.15 |
| ACA | Arcosa, Inc. | $107.48 | 5.27B | -29% | -60% | -59% | -22% | 25.54 | 2.03 | 1.85 | 11.57 | 20.94 | 5.53 | 22.45% | 11.80% | 7.23% | 8.25% | 7.41% | 4.26% | 0.58 | 3.13 | 2.20 | 1.26 | 2.28 | 12199.00% | 1220.00% | -4380.00% | 3.30% | 0.68 | 4.43% | 0.19% | 4.80% | 5.25% | 19.50 | 37.78 | 2.30 | 2.66 |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group, Inc. | $51.60 | 5.92B | -11% | -38% | -68% | -52% | 58.66 | 1.42 | 0.41 | 8.22 | — | 10.11 | 59.66% | 2.13% | 0.70% | 2.36% | 2.42% | 0.50% | 1.67 | 1.25 | 0.50 | 0.41 | 4.84 | -7175.00% | 2134.00% | -28525.00% | -5.78% | 0.19 | -3.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 35.10 | -31.37 | 0.75 | 1.12 |
| BCO | The Brink's Company | $116.77 | 4.85B | -34% | -57% | — | -45% | 25.09 | 12.95 | 1.00 | 12.27 | 66.96 | -3.53 | 25.81% | 11.13% | 4.00% | 70.99% | 11.45% | 3.01% | 10.71 | 2.38 | 1.51 | 1.13 | 4.09 | 3747.00% | 497.00% | 11445.00% | 8.28% | 0.29 | 14.34% | 0.80% | 20.10% | 8.99% | 13.51 | 18.12 | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| ECG | Everus Construction Group… | $120.87 | 6.17B | -29% | +1,098% | -76% | +25% | 30.18 | 9.67 | 1.63 | 18.58 | 74.40 | 12.52 | 12.12% | 7.07% | 5.39% | 38.34% | 30.82% | 13.37% | 0.17 | 12.34 | 1.76 | 1.28 | -0.20 | 4057.00% | 3147.00% | -2180.00% | 1.48% | 0.21 | 14.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.62% | 22.76 | 66.94 | 1.61 | 6.78 |
| ENS | EnerSys | $166.15 | 6.13B | -39% | -79% | -63% | -50% | 9.44 | 1.79 | 0.95 | 7.68 | 24.63 | 4.19 | 30.20% | 12.85% | 10.05% | 19.82% | 16.27% | 9.78% | 0.63 | 9.09 | 2.70 | 1.32 | 1.54 | 3831.00% | 100.00% | -6242.00% | 4.06% | 0.34 | 5.45% | 1.09% | 10.30% | 5.58% | 9.24 | 30.82 | 1.19 | 3.58 |
| MMS | Maximus, Inc. | $75.61 | 4.12B | +15% | -53% | -89% | -23% | 15.17 | 2.89 | 0.89 | 8.93 | 145.56 | -5.62 | 23.01% | 10.62% | 5.87% | 18.14% | 14.41% | 7.78% | 0.86 | 6.86 | 1.64 | 1.52 | 1.75 | 1042.00% | 236.00% | -870.00% | 7.57% | 0.56 | 12.75% | 1.42% | 21.50% | 10.67% | 10.44 | 16.45 | 1.11 | 3.52 |
| OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario del C… | $122.16 | 5.9B | +11% | -42% | — | -31% | 19.81 | 9.40 | 6.63 | 11.85 | 236.25 | -11.64 | 75.58% | 56.01% | 33.46% | 49.36% | 29.98% | 18.37% | 1.21 | — | 1.32 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 839.00% | 591.00% | 2535.00% | 6.96% | 1.59 | 35.12% | 4.22% | 83.70% | 4.23% | 13.01 | 15.79 | 7.29 | 5.28 |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | $523.60 | 6.36B | -63% | +28% | -79% | -52% | 22.82 | 6.44 | 3.74 | 15.16 | 109.13 | 6.56 | 29.37% | 19.73% | 16.37% | 32.17% | 115.17% | 17.74% | 0.00 | — | 2.09 | 1.86 | -1.86 | 2091.00% | 908.00% | 6011.00% | 3.75% | 0.38 | 105.73% | 0.31% | 7.10% | 3.88% | 16.76 | 23.59 | 3.31 | 8.25 |
| RAL | Ralliant Corp. | $45.89 | 5.18B | -19% | -55% | — | — | -4.31 | 3.23 | 2.55 | -5.71 | — | -6.33 | 50.29% | 12.45% | -58.50% | -45.30% | 8.14% | -28.63% | 0.70 | 7.98 | 0.84 | 0.52 | -0.78 | -50224.00% | -399.00% | -1471.00% | 6.80% | 0.34 | 11.38% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23.68 | 17.02 | 2.95 | 2.15 |
| SITE | SiteOne Landscape Supply,… | $142.89 | 6.35B | -1% | -60% | -71% | -73% | 42.09 | 3.85 | 1.36 | 22.52 | 172.84 | 7.03 | 34.76% | 5.06% | 3.23% | 9.39% | 7.59% | 4.83% | 0.59 | 6.80 | 2.47 | 1.07 | 2.48 | 2435.00% | 362.00% | 344.00% | 3.86% | 0.44 | 10.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.40% | 30.15 | 29.09 | 1.53 | 5.10 |
About MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the United Kingdom. Its MRO products include cutting tools, measuring instruments, tooling components, metalworking products, fasteners, flat stock products, raw materials, abrasives, machinery hand and power tools, safety and janitorial supplies, plumbing supplies, materials handling products, power transmission components, and electrical supplies. The company offers approximately 1.9 million stock-keeping units through its catalogs and brochures; e-commerce channels, including its Website, mscdirect.com; inventory management solutions; and call-centers and branches. It operates through a distribution network of 28 branch offices, 11 customer fulfilment centers, and seven regional inventory centers. The company serves individual machine shops, Fortune 1000 manufacturing companies, and government agencies, as well as manufacturers of various sizes. MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
- CEO
- Martina McIsaac
- Employees
- 7.19K
- Beta
- 0.82
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($34.51 ÷ $102.63) − 1 = -66.37% (DCF, example).