US · SCVL
Shoe Carnival, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Retail
- Headquarters
- Evansville, IN 47715
- Website
- shoecarnival.com
Price · as of 2025-02-01
$18.43
Market cap 552.7M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $47.79 | +159.31% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $7.30 | -60.39% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $28.69 | +55.67% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $27.80 | +50.85% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $7.42 | $39.04 | $0.00 | $10.18 | $11.36 |
| 2012 | $8.24 | $36.03 | $0.00 | $10.40 | $7.39 |
| 2013 | $8.86 | $27.52 | $0.00 | $2.19 | $14.59 |
| 2014 | $9.29 | $29.08 | $0.00 | $9.49 | $7.67 |
| 2015 | $12.29 | $31.27 | $0.00 | $9.77 | $9.07 |
| 2016 | $10.90 | $36.27 | $0.00 | $10.51 | $9.28 |
| 2017 | $10.99 | $35.93 | $0.00 | $10.02 | $6.43 |
| 2018 | $10.74 | $48.52 | $0.00 | $10.16 | $5.75 |
| 2019 | $15.67 | $40.17 | $0.00 | $14.02 | $11.47 |
| 2020 | $10.31 | $34.82 | $0.00 | $14.79 | $12.95 |
| 2021 | $28.62 | $39.16 | $0.00 | $11.13 | $1.47 |
| 2022 | $28.52 | $48.58 | $90.11 | $38.80 | $234.55 |
| 2023 | $23.87 | $85.42 | $0.00 | $33.20 | $12.61 |
| 2024 | $31.39 | $34.21 | $0.00 | $27.73 | $4.38 |
| 2025 | $18.24 | $47.79 | $0.00 | $28.69 | $27.80 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Shoe Carnival, Inc.'s (SCVL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $47.79
- Current price
- $18.43
- AI upside
- +159.31%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$7.30
-60.39% upside
Graham-Dodd
$28.69
+55.67% upside
Graham Formula
$27.80
+50.85% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival, Inc. | $18.43 | 552.7M | +159% | -60% | +56% | +51% | 6.71 | 0.76 | 0.41 | 5.74 | — | 0.84 | 35.65% | 7.58% | 6.13% | 11.97% | 8.02% | 6.81% | 0.57 | 290.29 | 4.11 | 1.01 | 2.01 | 0.00% | 230.00% | 452.00% | 14.03% | 0.79 | 8.08% | 2.97% | 19.90% | 2.97% | 8.12 | 10.65 | 0.62 | 3.36 |
| BALY | Bally's Corporation | $14.22 | 699.09M | +277% | -66% | — | — | -1.03 | 19.01 | 0.24 | 38.98 | -0.44 | -0.19 | 54.17% | -10.54% | -23.17% | -170.41% | -5.00% | -8.93% | 159.83 | -0.83 | 0.66 | 0.43 | 34.70 | 23362.00% | 6.00% | -3015.00% | -14.61% | 0.17 | -1.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.95% | -20.73 | -62.40 | 2.19 | 0.02 |
| BLMN | Bloomin' Brands, Inc. | $6.12 | 521.53M | +178% | +5,827% | — | -91% | 40.71 | 1.61 | 0.14 | 16.38 | — | -1.80 | 55.75% | 0.94% | 0.14% | 5.64% | 0.52% | 0.40% | 9.20 | 0.82 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 13.89 | -10423.00% | 14.00% | 119847.00% | 17.83% | 0.31 | 3.38% | 7.11% | 289.30% | 7.32% | 95.44 | 36.94 | 0.90 | 0.76 |
| CAL | Caleres, Inc. | $11.89 | 403.02M | +586% | -47% | +148% | +32% | 4.94 | 0.88 | 0.19 | 6.43 | — | 1.29 | 44.88% | 5.50% | 3.94% | 18.30% | 8.77% | 5.74% | 1.38 | 10.74 | 1.10 | 0.26 | 3.88 | -3562.00% | -336.00% | -6319.00% | 10.57% | 0.14 | 4.13% | 1.85% | 9.10% | 14.25% | 8.82 | 23.84 | 0.49 | 2.32 |
| CPS | Cooper-Standard Holdings … | $38.44 | 677.97M | +120,896% | -61% | — | — | -0.90 | -8.02 | 0.24 | 8.47 | — | -2.65 | 11.72% | 3.90% | -0.15% | 713.00% | 4.56% | -41.84% | -15.12 | 0.93 | 1.30 | 0.98 | 5.20 | -9487.00% | 37.00% | -3719.00% | 2.43% | 0.09 | 1.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.23 | 106.72 | 0.63 | 1.67 |
| GDEN | Golden Entertainment, Inc… | $28.90 | 756.43M | -18% | -59% | — | — | -63.01 | 1.83 | 1.21 | 10.41 | — | 2.72 | 39.53% | 3.39% | -1.93% | -2.73% | 2.48% | -1.17% | 1.07 | 0.70 | 1.17 | 0.77 | 3.52 | -11345.00% | -478.00% | -1617.00% | 4.62% | 0.93 | 4.10% | 3.42% | -215.50% | 13.20% | 54.04 | 32.70 | 1.83 | 1.40 |
| HZO | MarineMax, Inc. | $30.50 | 671.84M | +652% | -69% | -63% | — | -17.07 | 0.56 | 0.23 | 19.21 | — | 1.40 | 32.49% | 4.46% | -1.37% | -3.22% | 4.27% | -1.21% | 1.33 | 1.45 | 1.20 | 0.28 | 12.91 | -18667.00% | -501.00% | -11387.00% | 2.27% | 0.07 | 0.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.23% | 15.53 | 134.06 | 0.69 | 1.80 |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corporatio… | $21.92 | 523.2M | +1,144% | -29% | +51% | -34% | 9.83 | 1.23 | 3.29 | 7.71 | 68.84 | 1.23 | 51.10% | 34.53% | 33.47% | 13.25% | 10.79% | 11.84% | 0.00 | 92.32 | 3.80 | 2.51 | 0.00 | 1429.00% | -262.00% | -22603.00% | 4.42% | 1.10 | 5.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.94% | 9.53 | 22.64 | 3.29 | 10.82 |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | $42.03 | 481.58M | -7% | -55% | +18% | +121% | 8.46 | 1.34 | 0.43 | 5.89 | 107.24 | 1.41 | 13.58% | 6.72% | 5.05% | 16.96% | 16.31% | 9.66% | 0.16 | 21.51 | 2.68 | 1.71 | 0.42 | 789.00% | 903.00% | -23386.00% | 0.28% | 0.09 | 0.37% | 1.62% | 13.70% | 2.16% | 6.85 | 381.05 | 0.46 | 4.65 |
| OXM | Oxford Industries, Inc. | $39.59 | 589M | +160% | -52% | -34% | -27% | 8.01 | 1.20 | 0.49 | 6.34 | 14.93 | 2.21 | 62.94% | 7.85% | 6.13% | 15.71% | 9.72% | 7.79% | 0.72 | 48.23 | 1.18 | 0.35 | 2.35 | 5366.00% | -349.00% | -6486.00% | 8.03% | 0.78 | 6.12% | 5.80% | 46.50% | 5.80% | 9.95 | 19.81 | 0.78 | 2.65 |
| SFIX | Stitch Fix, Inc. | $3.33 | 446.88M | +811% | -51% | -86% | — | -18.02 | 2.56 | 0.41 | -199.21 | — | 2.56 | 44.42% | -3.53% | -2.27% | -14.79% | -75.04% | -5.96% | 0.46 | — | 1.81 | 1.14 | 10.76 | -7944.00% | -526.00% | -3761.00% | 1.71% | 0.12 | 14.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.07% | -8.46 | 42.58 | 0.30 | 2.43 |
About Shoe Carnival, Inc.
Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. The company offers range of dress, casual, work, and athletic shoes, as well as sandals and boots for men, women, and children; and various accessories. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 372 stores in 35 states and Puerto Rico under the Shoe Carnival banner; and 21 locations across the Southeast under the Shoe Station banner. The company also sells its products through online shopping at shoecarnival.com, as well as through mobile application. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana.
- CEO
- Clifton E. Sifford
- Employees
- 2.5K
- Beta
- 1.35
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($7.30 ÷ $18.43) − 1 = -60.39% (DCF, example).