US · SEM
Select Medical Holdings Corporation
- Sector
- Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilities
- Headquarters
- Mechanicsburg, PA 17055
- Website
- selectmedical.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$16.44
Market cap 1.86B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $21.96 | +33.58% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $6.00 | -63.5% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $15.51 | -5.63% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $3.50 | $24.62 | $15.24 | $0.00 | $17.75 |
| 2012 | $3.99 | $26.27 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $14.00 |
| 2013 | $5.68 | $22.76 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $7.59 |
| 2014 | $6.69 | $21.59 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $10.28 |
| 2015 | $5.42 | $21.37 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $30.12 |
| 2016 | $6.48 | $23.31 | $25.32 | $0.00 | $19.95 |
| 2017 | $9.21 | $25.44 | $5.23 | $0.00 | $15.90 |
| 2018 | $6.84 | $25.53 | $9.89 | $0.00 | $23.20 |
| 2019 | $11.93 | $27.71 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $17.33 |
| 2020 | $17.17 | $34.55 | $0.97 | $0.00 | $18.90 |
| 2021 | $12.08 | $33.24 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $61.15 |
| 2022 | $12.85 | $28.44 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $12.81 |
| 2023 | $14.82 | $16.20 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $25.92 |
| 2024 | $17.59 | $27.77 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $15.00 | $21.96 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $15.51 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Select Medical Holdings Corporation's (SEM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $21.96
- Current price
- $16.44
- AI upside
- +33.58%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$6.00
-63.5% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$15.51
-5.63% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings C… | $16.44 | 1.86B | +34% | -64% | — | -6% | 12.67 | 1.09 | 0.34 | 10.42 | — | -2.45 | 11.54% | 6.14% | 2.68% | 8.63% | 5.42% | 2.55% | 2.17 | 2.85 | 1.04 | 0.90 | 6.93 | -2892.00% | 512.00% | -2908.00% | 20.66% | 0.35 | 7.88% | 1.70% | 21.50% | 7.10% | 16.53 | 14.45 | 1.01 | 1.62 |
| ACHC | Acadia Healthcare Company… | $23.44 | 2.12B | -60% | -60% | — | — | -1.95 | 1.09 | 0.64 | -6.28 | — | 3.82 | 17.61% | 11.71% | -33.29% | -43.48% | 8.13% | -19.02% | 1.36 | 2.79 | 1.55 | 1.09 | -3.40 | -53741.00% | 504.00% | -2154.00% | -20.69% | 0.25 | -9.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.35% | 11.95 | -10.54 | 1.40 | 1.08 |
| ARDT | Ardent Health Partners, L… | $9.39 | 1.34B | +968% | -38% | +7% | +203% | 6.44 | 1.71 | 0.32 | 6.36 | 1.83 | 9.54 | 82.68% | 6.80% | 3.53% | 33.26% | 12.21% | 5.96% | 2.02 | 6.19 | 1.94 | 1.37 | 3.00 | 35143.00% | 1029.00% | 5128.00% | 6.60% | 0.33 | 4.65% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.10% | 9.01 | 28.67 | 0.61 | 2.13 |
| ASTH | Astrana Health, Inc. | $20.33 | 1.02B | +100% | +292,397% | -54% | +135% | 28.06 | 1.97 | 0.69 | 11.15 | — | 7.99 | 13.34% | 4.39% | 2.12% | 7.53% | 7.20% | 4.36% | 0.66 | 2.70 | 1.75 | 1.68 | 1.29 | -3023.00% | 4672.00% | 1126.00% | 3.15% | 0.14 | 5.76% | 0.29% | 8.10% | 0.35% | 17.71 | 35.82 | 0.78 | 3.26 |
| AVAH | Aveanna Healthcare Holdin… | $7.36 | 1.54B | — | +111% | — | — | -67.95 | -6.08 | 0.37 | 11.53 | — | -0.59 | 31.39% | 6.90% | -0.54% | — | — | — | -12.30 | 0.89 | 0.98 | 0.90 | 7.57 | — | — | — | 3.54% | 0.08 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15.45 | 82.09 | 1.07 | 0.57 |
| HCSG | Healthcare Services Group… | $21.77 | 1.53B | +60% | -59% | -54% | -44% | 27.23 | 3.15 | 0.88 | 21.88 | 51.55 | 3.80 | 13.03% | 2.64% | 3.21% | 11.69% | 11.87% | 7.28% | 0.05 | 30.72 | 3.38 | 3.16 | -2.09 | 5283.00% | 708.00% | 46875.00% | 8.65% | 0.85 | 39.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.04% | 29.44 | 10.27 | 0.78 | 6.81 |
| HRMY | Harmony Biosciences Holdi… | $28.54 | 1.64B | +155% | +609% | +1% | +178% | — | 1.91 | 1.91 | 4.41 | — | 2.13 | 77.16% | 24.00% | 18.27% | 0.00% | 43.46% | 0.00% | 0.28 | 14.23 | 3.60 | 3.46 | -2.01 | 797.00% | 2151.00% | 5909.00% | 20.94% | 1.38 | 98.30% | 0.00% | — | 14.52% | 5.40 | 3.24 | 1.30 | 4.50 |
| LFST | LifeStance Health Group, … | $7.24 | 2.82B | +311% | -6% | -90% | -93% | 285.23 | 1.81 | 1.94 | 34.29 | — | 55.12 | 28.53% | 1.80% | 0.68% | 0.65% | 1.24% | 0.45% | 0.13 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 1.37 | -0.69 | -11333.00% | 1385.00% | 2839.00% | 3.99% | 0.58 | 6.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.97% | 105.10 | 24.55 | 1.90 | 2.68 |
| MD | Pediatrix Medical Group, … | $19.85 | 1.7B | +94% | -35% | -74% | -67% | — | 1.93 | 0.87 | 6.67 | — | -4.05 | 24.66% | 12.07% | 8.64% | 0.00% | 16.78% | 0.00% | 0.76 | 6.43 | 1.66 | 1.62 | 1.04 | -26303.00% | -492.00% | 3689.00% | 15.14% | 0.59 | 24.00% | 0.00% | — | 14.02% | 7.92 | 7.24 | 0.96 | 2.03 |
| USPH | U.S. Physical Therapy, In… | $82.96 | 1.26B | -9% | -45% | — | -72% | 21.72 | 2.64 | 1.61 | 15.05 | — | -3.24 | 20.15% | 10.30% | 1.93% | 12.02% | 7.45% | 4.89% | 0.89 | 8.50 | 1.01 | 0.72 | 3.56 | -2283.00% | 1633.00% | -725.00% | 4.84% | 0.54 | 7.58% | 2.17% | 47.20% | 2.61% | 20.52 | 27.06 | 2.11 | 2.88 |
About Select Medical Holdings Corporation
Select Medical Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates critical illness recovery hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, outpatient rehabilitation clinics, and occupational health centers in the United States. The company's Critical Illness Recovery Hospital segment consists of hospitals that provide services for heart failure, infectious disease, respiratory failure and pulmonary disease, surgery requiring prolonged recovery, renal disease, neurological events, and trauma. Its Rehabilitation Hospital segment offers therapy and rehabilitation treatments, including rehabilitative services for brain and spinal cord injuries, strokes, amputations, neurological disorders, orthopedic conditions, pediatric congenital or acquired disabilities, and cancer. The company's Outpatient Rehabilitation segment operates rehabilitation clinics that provide physical, occupational, and speech rehabilitation programs and services; and specialized programs, such as functional programs for work related injuries, hand therapy, post-concussion rehabilitation, pediatric and cancer rehabilitation, and athletic training services. Its Concentra segment operates and provides occupational health centers and contract services at employer worksites that deliver occupational medicine, consumer health, physical therapy, and wellness services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 104 critical illness recovery hospitals in 28 states; 30 rehabilitation hospitals in 12 states; 1,881 outpatient rehabilitation clinics in 38 states and the District of Columbia; and 518 occupational health centers in 41 states, and 134 onsite clinics at employer worksites states. Select Medical Holdings Corporation was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania.
- CEO
- Thomas Mullin
- Employees
- 30K
- Beta
- 0.98
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($6.00 ÷ $16.44) − 1 = -63.5% (DCF, example).