US · THG
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
- Sector
- Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty
- Headquarters
- Worcester, MA 01653
- Website
- hanover.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$186.84
Market cap 6.35B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $130.28 | -30.27% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $73.16 | -60.84% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $132.59 | -29.04% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $260.23 | +39.28% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $27.26 | $14.66 | $252.94 | $38.53 | $26.21 |
| 2012 | $30.56 | $19.99 | $1,832.28 | $42.06 | $30.54 |
| 2013 | $42.38 | $35.64 | $986.86 | $63.26 | $70.87 |
| 2014 | $51.29 | $34.76 | $278.05 | $68.35 | $86.04 |
| 2015 | $64.53 | $40.53 | $113.45 | $74.49 | $59.73 |
| 2016 | $69.55 | $35.44 | $84.31 | $52.39 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $91.98 | $49.50 | $60.66 | $57.27 | $67.47 |
| 2018 | $98.07 | $59.06 | $50.62 | $78.40 | $115.83 |
| 2019 | $102.68 | $103.25 | $113.28 | $0.00 | $183.99 |
| 2020 | $114.65 | $64.68 | $118.95 | $88.18 | $64.62 |
| 2021 | $126.75 | $89.05 | $82.88 | $98.81 | $174.61 |
| 2022 | $120.40 | $77.70 | $31.16 | $30.67 | $42.33 |
| 2023 | $124.27 | $75.19 | $46.48 | $19.76 | $17.31 |
| 2024 | $162.96 | $90.96 | $84.07 | $81.66 | $144.15 |
| 2025 | $181.68 | $130.28 | $0.79 | $132.59 | $260.23 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.'s (THG) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $130.28
- Current price
- $186.84
- AI upside
- -30.27%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$73.16
-60.84% upside
Graham-Dodd
$132.59
-29.04% upside
Graham Formula
$260.23
+39.28% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Gro… | $186.84 | 6.35B | -30% | -61% | -29% | +39% | 9.82 | 1.82 | 0.99 | 7.44 | 16.87 | 2.42 | 43.47% | 12.79% | 10.04% | 20.66% | 25.07% | 4.36% | 0.34 | 19.53 | — | — | 0.11 | 5821.00% | 612.00% | 4700.00% | 18.00% | — | 44.42% | 2.01% | 19.70% | 7.88% | 7.82 | 5.64 | 1.00 | 1.54 |
| ALL | The Allstate Corporation | $214.52 | 56.14B | +12% | -44% | +10% | +130% | 5.41 | 1.82 | 0.84 | 4.45 | 4.33 | 2.61 | 33.23% | 19.80% | 15.47% | 39.51% | 33.27% | 8.89% | 0.24 | 32.97 | — | — | 0.49 | 12478.00% | 464.00% | 1331.00% | 17.78% | — | 32.03% | 2.07% | 11.20% | 5.32% | 4.74 | 6.32 | 0.94 | 2.14 |
| CB | Chubb Limited | $340.86 | 134.15B | -33% | +24% | -7% | +7% | 13.18 | 1.84 | 2.28 | 13.24 | 98.75 | 2.87 | 46.22% | 38.90% | 17.30% | 14.97% | 33.88% | 3.97% | 0.00 | 30.34 | — | — | -0.25 | 1335.00% | 611.00% | -2080.00% | 9.43% | — | 23.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.38% | 5.76 | 10.41 | 2.24 | 0.92 |
| CNA | CNA Financial Corporation | $48.02 | 13B | -25% | -32% | -83% | +29% | 10.52 | 1.16 | 0.91 | 7.49 | 31.64 | 1.28 | 30.73% | 11.01% | 8.69% | 11.55% | 12.16% | 1.88% | 0.26 | 12.00 | — | — | 1.40 | 3324.00% | 510.00% | -291.00% | 17.89% | — | 22.87% | 7.79% | 81.90% | 8.04% | 8.44 | 5.69 | 0.93 | 0.68 |
| DGICA | Donegal Group Inc. | $17.62 | 639.97M | +187% | -52% | +91% | +2% | 6.85 | 0.85 | 0.56 | 5.58 | 16.14 | 0.95 | 42.30% | 9.98% | 8.11% | 13.38% | 19.18% | 3.36% | 0.05 | 72.24 | — | — | 0.08 | 4248.00% | -117.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.66 | — | 0.56 | 0.92 |
| DGICB | Donegal Group Inc. | $16.50 | 606.81M | +204% | -51% | +104% | +9% | 6.47 | 0.80 | 0.52 | 5.27 | 15.22 | 0.90 | 42.30% | 9.98% | 8.11% | 13.38% | 19.18% | 3.36% | 0.05 | 72.24 | — | — | 0.08 | 4248.00% | -117.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.34 | — | 0.53 | 0.91 |
| GBLI | Global Indemnity Group, L… | $28.83 | 412.96M | -1% | +105% | +53% | — | 10.57 | 0.66 | 1.04 | -12.08 | 14.99 | 0.68 | 18.28% | 12.46% | 9.80% | 6.46% | -9.84% | 2.50% | 0.02 | — | — | — | -0.11 | 7049.00% | -1646.00% | -945.00% | 8.50% | — | -8.84% | 4.34% | 45.90% | 4.45% | -13.35 | -18.89 | -1.66 | 0.84 |
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators Cor… | $43.51 | 1.77B | +126% | -42% | +24% | +57% | 11.39 | 1.25 | 1.09 | — | 19.89 | 1.99 | 100.00% | 77.11% | 9.53% | 11.70% | -90.15% | 1.09% | 0.40 | 36.04 | — | — | — | 5726.00% | 974.00% | -7832.00% | 5.31% | — | -8.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -2.52 | -33.70 | -1.94 | 0.63 |
| KMPR | Kemper Corporation | $32.32 | 1.9B | -18% | -60% | -52% | -17% | 14.05 | 0.75 | 0.42 | 10.35 | — | 2.60 | 29.68% | 3.35% | 2.99% | 5.24% | 4.05% | 1.14% | 0.35 | 4.17 | — | — | 2.99 | -5336.00% | 362.00% | 6800.00% | 27.51% | — | 16.92% | 3.95% | 55.50% | 44.20% | 17.62 | 5.11 | 0.59 | 0.79 |
| NODK | NI Holdings, Inc. | $13.28 | 273.64M | +164% | -12% | -23% | — | 47.22 | 1.27 | 0.96 | 11.05 | — | 1.27 | 14.29% | 3.12% | -1.86% | 2.68% | -47.03% | 1.16% | 0.00 | — | — | — | -4.70 | -19231.00% | 697.00% | 5008.00% | 12.04% | — | -267.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.05% | 11.79 | 3.19 | 0.37 | 1.88 |
| PGR | The Progressive Corporati… | $213.66 | 125.29B | -23% | -42% | -54% | +94% | 18.15 | 6.01 | 2.04 | 7.51 | 15.27 | 6.58 | 27.74% | 14.22% | 11.26% | 36.98% | -21.55% | 8.72% | 0.27 | 38.40 | — | — | 0.60 | 11884.00% | 2136.00% | 4275.00% | 9.64% | — | -37.70% | 0.44% | 8.00% | 0.89% | 7.90 | 5.71 | 1.12 | 2.78 |
| RLI | RLI Corp. | $62.32 | 5.73B | -9% | -30% | -98% | 0% | 14.35 | 3.26 | 3.08 | 10.78 | 86.59 | 3.36 | 29.82% | 27.53% | 21.43% | 24.44% | 25.71% | 7.31% | 0.06 | 96.73 | 1.33 | 2.96 | 0.09 | 1658.00% | 633.00% | 957.00% | 10.51% | 4.73 | 37.89% | 4.17% | 59.90% | 4.38% | 11.03 | 9.39 | 3.04 | 1.95 |
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group… | $84.04 | 5.08B | -8% | -60% | -14% | +59% | 11.12 | 1.44 | 0.97 | 7.21 | 8.45 | 1.67 | 40.86% | 11.05% | 8.74% | 13.86% | 16.12% | 3.25% | 0.25 | 11.95 | 650.38 | 164.40 | 1.34 | 13158.00% | 978.00% | 1539.00% | 23.79% | 75.28 | 42.63% | 1.97% | 21.90% | 3.75% | 8.21 | 3.92 | 0.91 | 1.94 |
| TRV | The Travelers Companies, … | $308.64 | 68.85B | -30% | -30% | -34% | +19% | 11.08 | 2.12 | 1.43 | 8.13 | 39.90 | 2.44 | 44.25% | 15.97% | 12.88% | 20.70% | 27.25% | 4.54% | 0.28 | 18.34 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.95 | 2776.00% | 517.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.12 | 0.00% | 1.41% | 15.60% | 5.90% | 9.28 | — | 1.48 | 0.84 |
| WTM | White Mountains Insurance… | $2,220.51 | 5.51B | +29% | +420% | +93% | +339% | 5.18 | 1.06 | 2.12 | 4.53 | 1.37 | 1.40 | 53.72% | 49.08% | 40.87% | 22.33% | 24.14% | 9.95% | 0.15 | 22.60 | — | — | 0.46 | 37905.00% | 1499.00% | -10123.00% | -0.13% | — | -0.14% | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.05% | 4.80 | -886.67 | 2.36 | 1.70 |
About The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various property and casualty insurance products and services in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Commercial Lines, Personal Lines, and Other. The Commercial Lines segment offers commercial multiple peril, commercial automobile, and workers' compensation insurance products, as well as management and professional liability, marine, specialty industrial and commercial property, monoline general liability, surety, umbrella, fidelity, crime, and other commercial coverages. The Personal Lines segment provides personal automobile and homeowner's coverages, as well as other personal coverages, such as personal umbrella, inland marine, fire, personal watercraft, personal cyber, and other miscellaneous coverages. The Other segment markets investment management services to institutions, pension funds, and other organizations. The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. markets its products and services through independent agents and brokers. The company was formerly known as Allmerica Financial Corp. and changed its name to The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. in December 2005. The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Worcester, Massachusetts.
- CEO
- John Conner Roche
- Employees
- 4.9K
- Beta
- 0.32
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($73.16 ÷ $186.84) − 1 = -60.84% (DCF, example).