US · WING
Wingstop Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Dallas, TX 75001
- Website
- wingstop.com
Price · as of 2025-12-27
$160.73
Market cap 7.21B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $181.44 | +12.88% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $132.28 | -17.7% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $118.58 | -26.22% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | $0.00 | $6.92 | |||
| 2015 | $16.94 | $36.81 | $5.59 | $0.00 | $8.47 |
| 2016 | $20.57 | $36.61 | $25.42 | $0.00 | $18.90 |
| 2017 | $41.10 | $45.76 | $40.03 | $0.00 | $29.59 |
| 2018 | $60.09 | $56.39 | $23.85 | $0.00 | $16.56 |
| 2019 | $71.83 | $58.99 | $45.72 | $0.00 | $25.90 |
| 2020 | $121.51 | $78.33 | $51.35 | $0.00 | $24.93 |
| 2021 | $116.81 | $81.98 | $36.18 | $0.00 | $30.29 |
| 2022 | $163.18 | $96.66 | $52.75 | $0.00 | $59.47 |
| 2023 | $351.51 | $175.76 | $88.68 | $0.00 | $83.65 |
| 2024 | $226.13 | $149.51 | $219.84 | $0.00 | $158.14 |
| 2025 | $240.20 | $181.44 | $129.82 | $0.00 | $118.58 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Wingstop Inc.'s (WING) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $181.44
- Current price
- $160.73
- AI upside
- +12.88%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$132.28
-17.7% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$118.58
-26.22% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| WING | Wingstop Inc. | $160.73 | 7.21B | +13% | -18% | — | -26% | 38.56 | -9.12 | 9.64 | 35.95 | 56.84 | -7.66 | 82.62% | 27.58% | 25.01% | -24.68% | 45.04% | 24.72% | -1.80 | 5.37 | 3.26 | 3.17 | 5.02 | 6784.00% | 1135.00% | -5.00% | 1.57% | 1.87 | 33.69% | 0.48% | 18.60% | 3.78% | 40.64 | 73.93 | 11.21 | 3.56 |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings … | $39.27 | 5.45B | -28% | +2,702% | -93% | +102% | 22.72 | 9.80 | 4.00 | 14.44 | 31.31 | 9.88 | 41.55% | 21.41% | 17.60% | 50.77% | 995.98% | 17.63% | 0.59 | 499.27 | 2.02 | 1.84 | -1.05 | 7256.00% | 5542.00% | -1424.00% | 5.76% | 0.61 | 1446.28% | 1.51% | 34.20% | 4.94% | 16.63 | 15.46 | 3.56 | 5.77 |
| BFAM | Bright Horizons Family So… | $74.52 | 4.21B | -15% | -54% | -89% | -23% | 22.08 | 3.18 | 1.45 | 16.14 | 55.19 | -6.29 | 23.56% | 10.73% | 6.58% | 14.75% | 6.81% | 4.99% | 1.84 | 7.03 | 0.52 | 0.45 | 5.69 | 4000.00% | 922.00% | 675.00% | 6.01% | 0.36 | 7.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.29% | 20.93 | 25.69 | 2.25 | 1.88 |
| BOOT | Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. | $189.22 | 5.77B | -19% | -36% | -68% | -31% | 27.81 | 4.45 | 2.63 | 18.17 | 123.59 | 5.75 | 37.52% | 12.52% | 9.47% | 17.44% | 12.19% | 9.72% | 0.50 | 159.89 | 2.45 | 0.25 | 1.62 | 2250.00% | 1464.00% | -10064.00% | -0.01% | 0.42 | -0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23.08 | -7337.12 | 2.89 | 5.67 |
| CAVA | CAVA Group, Inc. | $82.47 | 9.6B | -24% | +58% | -89% | -80% | 142.89 | 11.68 | 7.72 | 60.73 | — | 11.74 | 18.38% | 6.73% | 5.40% | 8.64% | 8.55% | 5.04% | 0.60 | — | 1.74 | 1.78 | 1.20 | -5091.00% | 2241.00% | -5058.00% | 0.29% | 1.14 | 3.13% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 117.10 | 355.44 | 7.88 | 10.32 |
| EAT | Brinker International, In… | $148.20 | 6.45B | -29% | -57% | -68% | +69% | 18.42 | 19.03 | 1.31 | 12.13 | 12.73 | 44.44 | 18.25% | 9.51% | 7.12% | 186.74% | 21.22% | 14.53% | 4.57 | 9.64 | 0.31 | 0.14 | 2.33 | 14471.00% | 2195.00% | 8552.00% | 5.86% | 1.01 | 20.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.96% | 17.05 | 21.11 | 1.62 | 4.36 |
| ETSY | Etsy, Inc. | $54.88 | 5.42B | +59% | -61% | — | -68% | 32.52 | -4.83 | 1.84 | 13.28 | — | -3.70 | 71.64% | 9.23% | 5.65% | -17.55% | -25.38% | 6.21% | -0.68 | 28.15 | 1.44 | 1.34 | -1.96 | -4085.00% | 268.00% | -816.00% | 12.79% | 0.51 | -97.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 56.73% | 16.62 | 6.52 | 1.53 | 1.20 |
| FND | Floor & Decor Holdings, I… | $69.09 | 7.44B | +11% | -61% | -57% | -63% | 34.47 | 2.99 | 1.54 | 20.69 | 3274.67 | 3.59 | 41.15% | 5.95% | 4.45% | 9.11% | 4.61% | 3.97% | 1.51 | 28.83 | 1.33 | 0.30 | 6.62 | 105.00% | 512.00% | -5901.00% | 0.89% | 0.33 | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 37.94 | 165.03 | 2.26 | 2.99 |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | $131.25 | 6.98B | -17% | -61% | -58% | -51% | 12.97 | 1.36 | 0.29 | 13.63 | — | 2.17 | 6.47% | 3.34% | 1.88% | 11.11% | 7.78% | 3.65% | 0.81 | 7.71 | 1.35 | 0.87 | 4.23 | -914.00% | -18.00% | -609.00% | 7.71% | 0.19 | 6.77% | 2.41% | 31.30% | 7.17% | 12.73 | 18.77 | 0.43 | 2.91 |
| LNW | Light & Wonder, Inc. | $99.75 | 8.43B | — | — | — | -34% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 70.80% | 20.95% | 10.54% | 47.97% | 12.36% | 6.12% | 6.16 | 2.28 | 1.61 | 1.06 | 3.41 | 11029.00% | 986.00% | -287.00% | — | 0.86 | 7.83% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| MAT | Mattel, Inc. | $16.95 | 5.27B | +171% | -55% | -48% | -44% | 13.12 | 2.34 | 0.98 | 8.84 | — | 6.19 | 48.87% | 11.59% | 7.44% | 17.68% | 13.63% | 6.03% | 1.28 | 5.22 | 2.15 | 1.61 | 2.10 | -2152.00% | -59.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.04 | — | 1.28 | 2.13 |
About Wingstop Inc.
Wingstop Inc., together with its subsidiaries, franchises and operates restaurants under the Wingstop brand name. Its restaurants offer classic wings, boneless wings, and tenders that are cooked-to-order, and hand-sauced-and-tossed in various flavors. As of December 25, 2021, the company had 1,695 franchised restaurants and 36 company-owned restaurants in 44 states and 7 countries worldwide. Wingstop Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Addison, Texas.
- CEO
- Michael J. Skipworth
- Employees
- 325
- Beta
- 1.81
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($132.28 ÷ $160.73) − 1 = -17.7% (DCF, example).