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Intrinsic Value of Arcosa, Inc. (ACA)

Previous Close$83.66
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$83.66

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Arcosa, Inc. operates as a diversified infrastructure-related products and services provider, serving key sectors such as construction, energy, and transportation. The company generates revenue through three primary segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products. Its offerings include natural and recycled aggregates, specialty materials, steel components for infrastructure projects, and barges for inland waterways. Arcosa’s vertically integrated operations and focus on essential infrastructure needs position it as a resilient player in cyclical markets. The company leverages its regional scale and long-term customer relationships to maintain competitive pricing and operational efficiency. With a strategic emphasis on sustainability—particularly in recycled materials and energy-efficient manufacturing—Arcosa aligns with broader industry trends toward decarbonization and resource optimization. Its market position is further strengthened by a geographically diversified footprint, reducing exposure to localized demand fluctuations.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Arcosa reported revenue of $2.57 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $93.7 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 3.6%. The company demonstrated robust operating cash flow of $502 million, underscoring efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures totaled $189.7 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment in core operations. Diluted EPS stood at $1.91, supported by stable operational execution.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s operating cash flow conversion highlights strong earnings quality, with cash from operations significantly exceeding net income. Arcosa’s capital allocation prioritizes growth initiatives and debt management, evidenced by its $1.69 billion total debt against $187.3 million in cash. The balance between reinvestment and leverage suggests a focus on sustainable expansion while maintaining financial flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Arcosa’s balance sheet reflects a leveraged but manageable position, with total debt of $1.69 billion offset by $187.3 million in cash and equivalents. The company’s liquidity appears adequate, supported by healthy operating cash flows. Its debt profile aligns with long-term infrastructure projects, though interest coverage metrics would benefit from further disclosure.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends are tied to infrastructure spending cycles, with potential upside from federal funding initiatives. Arcosa’s dividend policy remains conservative, with a $0.20 annual payout per share, reflecting a focus on reinvestment over yield. The company’s growth strategy emphasizes organic expansion and selective acquisitions in high-margin segments.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a diluted EPS of $1.91, Arcosa’s valuation hinges on infrastructure sector tailwinds and execution efficiency. Market expectations likely price in moderate growth, with sensitivity to raw material costs and interest rate impacts. The stock’s performance will depend on sustained demand in core markets and margin preservation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Arcosa’s diversified portfolio and infrastructure focus provide resilience against economic volatility. Strategic advantages include vertical integration, regional scale, and a sustainability-aligned product mix. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on public-sector investment and operational execution. Risks include commodity price fluctuations and competitive pressures in fragmented markets.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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