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Intrinsic Value of AECOM (ACM)

Previous Close$111.08
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$111.08

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

AECOM operates as a premier global infrastructure consulting firm, delivering planning, design, engineering, and program management services across transportation, water, energy, and environmental sectors. The company generates revenue primarily through fee-based contracts, leveraging its technical expertise and integrated delivery model to serve public and private clients. AECOM holds a strong market position, supported by its scale, diversified project portfolio, and recurring revenue streams from long-term infrastructure programs. Its focus on sustainability and digital innovation further enhances its competitive edge in an industry driven by government spending and urbanization trends. The firm’s ability to secure high-margin contracts and expand into emerging markets underscores its resilience amid economic cycles.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

AECOM reported revenue of $16.1 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $402 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 2.5%. Diluted EPS stood at $2.95, while operating cash flow reached $827 million, indicating solid cash conversion. The absence of capital expenditures suggests a capital-light model, reinforcing operational efficiency. The firm’s profitability is tempered by competitive pricing and project execution risks inherent in the consulting sector.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by stable contract backlogs and disciplined cost management. With no reported capital expenditures, AECOM demonstrates high capital efficiency, reinvesting cash flow into strategic initiatives rather than heavy asset ownership. Its asset-light structure allows for scalable growth, though reliance on contract wins introduces variability in earnings stability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

AECOM maintains a balanced financial position, with $1.58 billion in cash and equivalents against $3.03 billion in total debt. The liquidity cushion provides flexibility for debt servicing and opportunistic investments. The debt level is manageable given the firm’s cash flow generation, though leverage metrics warrant monitoring in a rising interest rate environment.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by global infrastructure demand, particularly in sustainable and resilient projects. AECOM’s dividend of $0.85 per share reflects a commitment to shareholder returns, though payout ratios remain modest to preserve capital for growth. The firm’s backlog and geographic diversification position it to capitalize on long-term infrastructure spending trends.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely values AECOM based on its earnings stability and exposure to government-funded projects. Trading multiples may reflect expectations of mid-single-digit revenue growth and margin expansion, though macroeconomic uncertainties could weigh on sentiment. The stock’s performance hinges on execution and contract wins in key markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

AECOM’s strengths lie in its technical leadership, global footprint, and focus on high-growth sectors like decarbonization and digital infrastructure. Near-term challenges include labor cost inflation and geopolitical risks, but long-term demand for infrastructure modernization supports a positive outlook. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships could further enhance its market position.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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