investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Dover Corporation (DOV)

Previous Close$186.50
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$186.50

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Dover Corporation operates as a diversified industrial manufacturer, serving niche markets across four segments: Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, and Pumps & Process Solutions. The company generates revenue through the design, production, and servicing of specialized equipment and components, catering to industries such as energy, retail fueling, industrial automation, and biopharmaceuticals. Dover’s competitive edge lies in its portfolio of high-margin, mission-critical products, which often command pricing power due to technical differentiation and regulatory compliance requirements. With a decentralized operating model, Dover leverages local expertise while benefiting from global scale in supply chain and R&D. The company maintains a strong market position in several niche segments, including refrigeration systems for commercial retailers and precision components for industrial applications, supported by long-standing customer relationships and recurring aftermarket revenue streams. Dover’s focus on innovation and operational efficiency allows it to capitalize on secular trends like automation, energy transition, and digital identification, positioning it as a key enabler of industrial productivity.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Dover reported revenue of $7.75 billion for FY 2024, with net income reaching $2.70 billion, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 34.8%. Diluted EPS stood at $19.45, underscoring strong profitability. Operating cash flow was $748 million, while capital expenditures totaled $168 million, indicating disciplined capital allocation. The company’s ability to convert revenue into earnings highlights its operational efficiency and pricing power in niche markets.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Dover’s earnings power is evident in its high net income relative to revenue, driven by premium product offerings and cost management. The company’s capital efficiency is supported by a focus on high-return segments and strategic divestitures of non-core assets. Operating cash flow of $748 million, against $2.70 billion in net income, suggests strong earnings quality, though further analysis of working capital dynamics would provide additional clarity.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Dover maintains a solid balance sheet with $1.84 billion in cash and equivalents and $2.93 billion in total debt, reflecting a conservative leverage profile. The company’s liquidity position is healthy, supported by strong cash generation. Shareholders’ equity benefits from retained earnings, with no immediate refinancing risks evident. Dover’s financial flexibility allows for continued investment in growth initiatives and shareholder returns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Dover’s growth is underpinned by secular demand for automation, energy efficiency, and digital solutions across its end markets. The company paid a dividend of $2.06 per share in FY 2024, demonstrating a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Historical trends suggest a balanced approach to reinvestment and distributions, with potential for incremental growth through acquisitions and organic innovation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a diluted EPS of $19.45, Dover trades at a premium relative to broader industrials, reflecting its niche positioning and high margins. Market expectations likely incorporate sustained demand for its specialized products and operational discipline. Valuation multiples should be assessed against peers with similar exposure to high-growth industrial technologies and aftermarket services.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Dover’s strategic advantages include its diversified niche portfolio, decentralized agility, and strong aftermarket revenue streams. The outlook remains positive, supported by trends in automation, energy transition, and digitalization. Risks include cyclical demand in some end markets and supply chain volatility, but Dover’s focus on innovation and cost control positions it well for long-term value creation.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount