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Intrinsic ValueEOG Resources, Inc. (EOG)

Previous Close$118.16
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$118.16

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

EOG Resources, Inc. is a leading independent exploration and production (E&P) company specializing in hydrocarbon assets across key U.S. basins, including the Permian, Eagle Ford, and DJ Basin. The company operates with a disciplined capital allocation strategy, focusing on high-return, low-breakeven oil and gas projects. EOG differentiates itself through technological innovation in horizontal drilling and completions, optimizing recovery rates while maintaining cost efficiency. Its diversified portfolio mitigates regional risks while sustaining long-term production growth. EOG’s market position is reinforced by its premium inventory of drilling locations, which supports consistent reserve replacement and competitive margins even in volatile commodity cycles. The company’s operational excellence and low-cost structure position it as a top-tier independent E&P player, appealing to investors seeking exposure to sustainable free cash flow generation in the energy sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

EOG reported $23.4 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $6.4 billion, reflecting robust profitability driven by efficient operations and favorable commodity prices. Diluted EPS stood at $11.25, underscoring strong earnings power. Operating cash flow of $12.1 billion highlights the company’s ability to convert production into cash, while capital expenditures of $6.4 billion indicate disciplined reinvestment in high-return projects.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

EOG’s earnings power is evident in its ability to generate substantial free cash flow, supported by a capital-efficient business model. The company’s focus on high-margin production and cost control enhances returns on invested capital. With a track record of outperforming peers in capital efficiency, EOG consistently delivers superior per-share metrics, making it a standout in the E&P sector.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

EOG maintains a strong balance sheet, with $7.1 billion in cash and equivalents and total debt of $5.1 billion, reflecting a conservative leverage profile. The company’s liquidity position and low debt-to-capital ratio provide flexibility to navigate commodity price volatility and fund growth initiatives without compromising financial stability.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

EOG has demonstrated consistent production growth, supported by its premium drilling inventory. The company’s dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with a $3.69 per share annual dividend, complemented by periodic special dividends. EOG’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders aligns with its focus on sustainable free cash flow generation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

EOG trades at a premium valuation relative to peers, reflecting its operational excellence and superior returns. Market expectations are anchored on the company’s ability to maintain low-cost production and capitalize on commodity price upside, with a focus on long-term value creation through disciplined capital allocation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

EOG’s strategic advantages include its high-quality asset base, technological leadership, and cost discipline. The outlook remains positive, with the company well-positioned to leverage its operational strengths and capitalize on favorable energy market dynamics. EOG’s focus on sustainability and efficiency further enhances its competitive edge in a transitioning energy landscape.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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