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Intrinsic Value of Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS)

Previous Close$162.05
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$162.05

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Leidos Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology-driven defense, aviation, and IT solutions provider, serving government and commercial clients globally. The company generates revenue through long-term contracts, primarily with U.S. federal agencies, including the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, and intelligence communities. Its core offerings span cybersecurity, health IT, logistics, and systems integration, positioning it as a critical partner in national security and infrastructure modernization. Leidos differentiates itself through advanced analytics, AI-driven solutions, and scalable platforms that address complex, high-stakes challenges. The firm competes in a fragmented but consolidating market, where its scale and technical expertise provide a durable advantage. Its diversified contract portfolio mitigates reliance on any single program, while its focus on R&D ensures alignment with evolving client needs in defense and digital transformation. The company’s market position is reinforced by its ability to secure large, multi-year contracts and expand into adjacent high-growth sectors like space and autonomous systems.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Leidos reported FY 2025 revenue of $16.7 billion, with net income of $1.25 billion, reflecting a 7.5% net margin. Diluted EPS stood at $9.29, supported by disciplined cost management and operational leverage. Operating cash flow of $1.39 billion underscores strong conversion of earnings, while capital expenditures of $149 million indicate moderate reinvestment needs relative to scale. The firm’s asset-light model and contract-based revenue provide predictable cash flows.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is driven by high-margin cybersecurity and IT services, complemented by stable defense contracts. ROIC remains robust due to efficient capital deployment in strategic acquisitions and organic growth initiatives. Leidos maintains a balanced approach to capital allocation, prioritizing debt reduction and shareholder returns, evidenced by its $1.56 annual dividend per share and consistent share repurchases.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Leidos holds $943 million in cash against $5.29 billion of total debt, reflecting a manageable leverage profile. The debt-to-equity ratio aligns with industry peers, and liquidity is sufficient to fund operations and growth. Contract backlog provides visibility into future revenue, reducing near-term refinancing risks. The balance sheet remains investment-grade, supporting flexibility for strategic M&A.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth is expected to align with mid-single-digit sector trends, fueled by federal IT modernization and defense budget tailwinds. The dividend, yielding ~1.5%, is sustainable at a 17% payout ratio, with room for incremental increases. Leidos targets bolt-on acquisitions to augment organic growth, particularly in AI and cloud computing.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a forward P/E of ~14x, Leidos is valued in line with defense IT peers. The market prices in steady growth and margin stability, with upside tied to larger contract wins or sector consolidation. Investor focus remains on backlog conversion and free cash flow generation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Leidos benefits from entrenched government relationships, technical differentiation, and a diversified contract base. Near-term headwinds include budget cyclicality, but long-term demand for digital transformation and national security solutions remains robust. The outlook is positive, assuming continued execution on cost controls and strategic wins.

Sources

10-K filings, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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