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Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS)

Previous Close
$162.05
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)n/an/a
Intrinsic value (DCF)6.97-96
Graham-Dodd Method11.07-93
Graham Formula148.25-9

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Leidos Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: LDOS) is a leading provider of technology-driven solutions in defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets, serving U.S. and international clients. Headquartered in Reston, Virginia, Leidos operates through three key segments: Defense Solutions, Civil, and Health. The Defense Solutions segment delivers advanced national security systems, cybersecurity, logistics, and intelligence support to the U.S. Department of Defense, Intelligence Community, and allied governments. The Civil segment focuses on IT modernization, aviation automation, and infrastructure services for federal agencies, including the FAA. The Health segment provides digital health transformation, life sciences research, and managed health services. With a strong government contracting base, Leidos leverages deep domain expertise in high-growth areas like AI, cloud computing, and data analytics. The company's diversified portfolio and long-term contracts provide stability in the competitive IT services sector, positioning it as a critical partner for national security and public sector modernization.

Investment Summary

Leidos presents a compelling investment case due to its strong government contracting base, diversified revenue streams, and exposure to high-growth defense and IT modernization budgets. The company benefits from long-term contracts, particularly in defense and intelligence, providing revenue visibility. With a market cap of ~$19.6B and a beta of 0.66, it offers lower volatility compared to broader tech peers. However, risks include dependence on U.S. federal spending, competitive bidding pressures, and integration challenges from past acquisitions. The company's solid cash flow generation ($1.39B operating cash flow in FY 2024) supports its dividend (current yield ~1.3%) and debt reduction efforts. Investors should monitor contract renewals and defense budget allocations, as these are key growth drivers.

Competitive Analysis

Leidos competes in the highly fragmented government IT services and defense contracting sector, where differentiation is driven by technical expertise, security clearances, and cost efficiency. The company's competitive advantage lies in its scale, deep domain knowledge in defense and intelligence, and ability to integrate complex systems. Unlike pure-play IT services firms, Leidos combines engineering, cybersecurity, and mission-critical operations support, making it a preferred prime contractor for large U.S. defense programs. Its Civil segment benefits from FAA modernization contracts, where it holds a strong position in air traffic control systems. However, competition is intensifying as firms like Booz Allen Hamilton and SAIC expand their digital transformation offerings. Leidos' Health segment faces pressure from specialized healthcare IT providers but leverages federal relationships to secure contracts. The company's R&D focus on AI and autonomous systems provides a technological edge, but it must continue investing in innovation to maintain leadership against agile mid-tier firms and tech giants entering the federal space.

Major Competitors

  • Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. (BAH): Booz Allen is a key rival in defense and intelligence consulting, with strong cybersecurity and AI capabilities. It holds a higher proportion of classified work but lacks Leidos' diversified civil and health segments. Booz Allen's margins are superior, but Leidos has greater scale in systems integration.
  • Science Applications International Corp. (SAIC): SAIC competes directly in defense IT and logistics but has a smaller market cap (~$6.8B). It focuses more on engineering services, whereas Leidos has broader digital transformation offerings. SAIC's recent acquisition of Halfaker strengthens its health IT position, challenging Leidos in federal healthcare contracts.
  • General Dynamics Corporation (GD): General Dynamics' IT division (GDIT) is a major competitor, especially in defense IT modernization. GD has stronger aerospace and shipbuilding businesses, providing diversification, but Leidos is more agile in software-centric solutions. GDIT's larger budget allows for bigger bids, pressuring Leidos on pricing.
  • Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT): Lockheed dominates aerospace/defense hardware but overlaps with Leidos in space systems and cybersecurity. Leidos benefits from less reliance on large weapon systems programs, which face budget volatility. However, Lockheed's R&D resources pose a long-term threat in next-gen defense tech.
  • Accenture plc (ACN): Accenture competes in federal IT modernization and cloud services but lacks Leidos' security clearances for classified work. Its commercial IT strength is unmatched, but Leidos holds an advantage in mission-critical defense systems integration. Accenture's global delivery network pressures Leidos on cost for non-sensitive projects.
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