Previous Close | $54.68 |
Intrinsic Value | $19.18 |
Upside potential | -65% |
Data is not available at this time.
REX American Resources Corporation operates in the renewable energy sector, primarily focusing on ethanol production and related byproducts. The company generates revenue through the sale of ethanol, distillers grains, and non-food-grade corn oil, leveraging its strategic partnerships with ethanol production facilities. REX holds a niche position in the biofuels industry, benefiting from regulatory tailwinds supporting renewable energy but faces competition from larger integrated energy players and fluctuating commodity prices. Its asset-light model, which includes equity investments in ethanol plants rather than direct operations, allows for capital efficiency while maintaining exposure to industry growth. The company’s market positioning is further strengthened by its focus on high-efficiency production facilities, though its smaller scale limits bargaining power compared to industry giants. REX’s success hinges on ethanol demand, government policies, and its ability to navigate volatile feedstock costs.
REX reported revenue of $642.5 million for FY 2025, with net income of $58.2 million, translating to diluted EPS of $3.30. Operating cash flow stood at $64.2 million, though capital expenditures of $71.3 million resulted in negative free cash flow. The company’s profitability reflects its ability to manage production costs amid fluctuating ethanol and corn prices, though margins remain sensitive to commodity cycles.
The company’s earnings power is tied to ethanol market dynamics, with diluted EPS of $3.30 indicating moderate profitability. Capital efficiency is mixed, as high capex relative to operating cash flow suggests reinvestment needs, though its asset-light structure mitigates heavy fixed costs. REX’s returns are influenced by plant-level performance and commodity pricing, requiring disciplined cost management.
REX maintains a solid balance sheet, with $196.3 million in cash and equivalents against $21.1 million in total debt, reflecting strong liquidity. The negligible debt load provides flexibility, though the lack of dividends suggests capital retention for growth or operational needs. The company’s financial health is robust, with low leverage and ample cash reserves.
Growth is contingent on ethanol demand and regulatory support, with no dividends paid in FY 2025, indicating a focus on reinvestment. The company’s expansion depends on optimizing existing partnerships rather than aggressive capacity additions. Trends in renewable fuel adoption and feedstock costs will dictate future performance, with limited visibility on dividend initiation.
Trading at a moderate earnings multiple, REX’s valuation reflects its niche position and exposure to volatile ethanol markets. Investors likely price in regulatory risks and commodity price swings, balancing growth potential against cyclicality. Market expectations appear tempered, with limited premium for its renewable energy alignment.
REX’s strategic advantages include its asset-light model and focus on high-efficiency ethanol production. However, the outlook is cautious due to reliance on commodity prices and policy support. The company’s ability to navigate feedstock volatility and scale selectively will determine its trajectory, with opportunities tied to broader renewable energy adoption.
Company filings (10-K), CIK 0000744187
show cash flow forecast
Fiscal year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | 2033 | 2034 | 2035 | 2036 | 2037 | 2038 | 2039 | 2040 | 2041 | 2042 | 2043 | 2044 | 2045 | 2046 | 2047 | 2048 | 2049 | 2050 | |
INCOME STATEMENT | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue growth rate, % | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue, $ | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Variable operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total operating expenses, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
EBITDA, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense (income), $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Earnings before tax, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tax expense, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
BALANCE SHEET | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and short-term investments, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total assets, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Average production assets, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Working capital, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total debt, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total liabilities, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total equity, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Debt-to-equity ratio | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted equity ratio | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
CASH FLOW | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net income, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Funds from operations, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in working capital, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash from operations, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maintenance CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
New CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Total CAPEX, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Free cash flow, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Retained Cash Flow, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash available for distribution, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Discount rate, % | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
PV of cash for distribution, $m | NaN | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Current shareholders' claim on cash, % | NaN |