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Intrinsic ValueSonic Automotive, Inc. (SAH)

Previous Close$79.85
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$79.85

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Sonic Automotive, Inc. operates as a leading automotive retailer in the United States, specializing in new and used vehicle sales, finance and insurance products, and aftermarket services. The company generates revenue through dealership operations, leveraging a diversified portfolio of luxury and mainstream brands. Its EchoPark segment focuses on pre-owned vehicles, offering a differentiated retail experience. Sonic Automotive holds a competitive position in the fragmented auto retail sector, emphasizing digital innovation and customer-centric solutions to drive market share. The company’s scale and brand diversity provide resilience against cyclical industry trends, while its EchoPark expansion targets growth in the high-margin used car segment. Strategic partnerships with OEMs and a focus on operational efficiency further strengthen its market positioning.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Sonic Automotive reported revenue of $14.2 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $216 million, reflecting a diluted EPS of $6.18. Operating cash flow stood at $109.2 million, while capital expenditures totaled $187.3 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment. The company’s profitability metrics suggest steady operational execution, though margin pressures from inventory costs and competitive pricing remain a watchpoint.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underpinned by its diversified revenue streams, including high-margin finance and insurance products. Capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate operating cash flow despite significant capex, though elevated total debt of $4.1 billion warrants monitoring. Shareholder returns are supported by a dividend of $1.40 per share, reflecting a balanced capital allocation strategy.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Sonic Automotive’s balance sheet shows $44 million in cash and equivalents against $4.1 billion in total debt, highlighting leverage risks. However, the company’s asset-light dealership model and strong cash flow generation provide liquidity flexibility. Debt management and inventory turnover will be critical to maintaining financial health amid macroeconomic uncertainties.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by EchoPark’s expansion and digital retail initiatives, though near-term headwinds in used car pricing may temper progress. The dividend policy, yielding $1.40 per share, signals confidence in sustained cash flow, but payout ratios remain conservative to accommodate growth investments. Long-term trends favor market share gains in pre-owned vehicles and service revenue.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Sonic Automotive at a premium relative to peers, reflecting its growth initiatives and diversified brand portfolio. Investors likely anticipate margin improvement as EchoPark scales and supply chain normalization benefits new vehicle sales. However, valuation multiples remain sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and consumer demand trends.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Sonic Automotive’s strategic advantages include its multi-brand footprint, digital retail capabilities, and EchoPark’s disruptive potential. The outlook hinges on execution in used vehicle retail and cost management. Macro factors like interest rates and inventory availability will influence near-term performance, but the company’s adaptive model positions it for long-term resilience.

Sources

10-K filing, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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