investorscraft@gmail.com

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM)

Previous Close
$179.68
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)60.85-66
Intrinsic value (DCF)16.38-91
Graham-Dodd Method11.48-94
Graham Formula54.97-69

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE: HWM) is a leading provider of advanced engineered solutions for the aerospace and transportation industries, operating globally with a strong presence in the U.S., Europe, and Asia. The company specializes in high-performance components critical for aircraft engines, industrial gas turbines, and commercial transportation, segmented into Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. With roots dating back to 1888, Howmet Aerospace leverages its deep expertise in metallurgy and precision manufacturing to serve blue-chip customers in aerospace and defense. The company’s products, including titanium airfoils, aerospace fasteners, and forged aluminum wheels, are integral to fuel efficiency, durability, and safety in aviation and heavy-duty transport. Positioned in the Industrials sector, Howmet benefits from long-term aerospace growth trends, including rising demand for next-generation aircraft and sustainable propulsion technologies. Its diversified revenue streams and technological leadership make it a key player in the global aerospace supply chain.

Investment Summary

Howmet Aerospace presents a compelling investment case due to its strong positioning in the aerospace and transportation markets, supported by robust revenue ($7.43B in FY2023) and net income ($1.16B). The company’s focus on high-margin engineered solutions and its role in next-gen aircraft programs (e.g., Boeing 787, Airbus A320neo) underpin growth. However, risks include exposure to cyclical aerospace demand (beta: 1.37), supply chain disruptions, and debt levels ($3.47B). Positive cash flow ($1.3B operating cash flow) and a modest dividend ($0.36/share) add stability. Investors should monitor commercial aerospace recovery and defense spending trends.

Competitive Analysis

Howmet Aerospace’s competitive advantage lies in its specialized metallurgy capabilities, long-term contracts with aerospace OEMs (e.g., Boeing, Airbus, GE Aerospace), and vertically integrated manufacturing. Its Engine Products segment dominates the high-performance airfoil market, while Forged Wheels holds a leading share in commercial truck wheels. The company’s R&D focus on lightweight materials (titanium, aluminum) aligns with industry shifts toward fuel efficiency. However, it faces pricing pressure from rivals like Precision Castparts (PCC) and Safran in engine components. Howmet’s Fastening Systems segment competes with HEICO and LISI Aerospace, where scale and customization are critical. Unlike pure-play suppliers, Howmet’s diversified portfolio mitigates segment-specific downturns. Its debt-to-equity ratio (~1.1x) is higher than some peers, but strong cash flow supports leverage. Competitive threats include additive manufacturing disrupting traditional forging and potential customer insourcing.

Major Competitors

  • Precision Castparts Corp. (Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary) (PCP): A dominant player in complex metal components for aerospace, with superior scale and Berkshire Hathaway’s backing. Strengths include proprietary casting tech and OEM relationships. Weaknesses include limited exposure to non-aerospace markets compared to Howmet.
  • Safran SA (SAFRY): French aerospace giant with strong engine and landing system portfolios. Competes directly in titanium components and fasteners. Strengths include vertical integration in aircraft systems. Weaknesses include reliance on Airbus/Boeing and geopolitical risks in supply chains.
  • HEICO Corporation (HEI): Specializes in FAA-approved aftermarket aerospace parts, challenging Howmet in fasteners and structural components. Strengths include high margins and niche focus. Weaknesses include smaller scale in OEM contracts.
  • LISI Aerospace (LISI): French competitor in fastening systems, with a strong European client base. Strengths include lightweight innovation. Weaknesses include lower diversification compared to Howmet’s multi-segment model.
  • ATI Inc. (ATI): Provides titanium and nickel-based alloys, overlapping with Howmet’s Engineered Structures segment. Strengths include raw material sourcing. Weaknesses include less focus on finished aerospace components.
HomeMenuAccount